@KarlikPatrick

#361,77248

0x19db1372becbe7d982a27cefc1d9b765b63d7636

~118d· 409 markets · 1660 tradesVol: $204,4122026-08-04 17:21:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (176/398)7.1/20
1.14x (win $5,934 / loss $5,208)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.94315/15
Sortino 1.91510/10
$+0.0589 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 1430 (398 markets)5.4/10
43/102 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($1,443 / $1,596)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+33
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#803,343$-392Vol: $124,047
🏛️ POLITICS#18,370$965Vol: $53,814
📈 ECONOMICS#18,144$50Vol: $5,330
💰 FINANCE#634,424$-110Vol: $4,529
💻 TECH#245,534$-59Vol: $4,411
🌤️ WEATHER#285,496$-104Vol: $2,008
₿ CRYPTO#1,280,030$-22Vol: $1,189
📢 MENTIONS#147,527$-26Vol: $1,055
⚽ SPORTS#1,655,385$-84Vol: $444

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$33
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$204,412
Total Redeem
$374
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
409
total markets
Trades
1063B / 597S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $14
Week
$-30
Vol: $126
Month
$-34
Vol: $126
All Time
$33
Vol: $204,412

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
176W / 222L events
Realized PnL
$33
Win Rate
44%
176W / 222L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,650 (50.03335354760462% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$695
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$503
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$452
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$280
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?$271
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$251
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?$238
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$177
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?$168
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$167

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-304
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-259
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-240
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$-202
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-145
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-136
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?$-103
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$-103
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-100
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.049
Sortino
0.093
HHI
134
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 964s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)35.5%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 9:51:52 AM29 trades$16,6579 min
5/1/2026, 11:05:14 AM6 trades$2,6510 min
4/11/2026, 7:28:11 PM61 trades$2,3465 min
5/3/2026, 11:55:54 PM16 trades$1,54910 min
5/17/2026, 3:49:21 AM12 trades$1,4620 min
4/4/2026, 8:24:45 AM8 trades$1,4042 min
5/2/2026, 3:19:00 PM14 trades$7820 min
5/16/2026, 1:28:29 AM4 trades$6373 min
5/11/2026, 3:49:45 AM13 trades$6066 min
3/20/2026, 11:50:23 PM2 trades$4700 min
5/17/2026, 2:01:33 AM7 trades$3415 min
6/26/2026, 3:39:35 PM14 trades$3021 min
5/15/2026, 9:54:15 PM6 trades$2864 min
6/23/2026, 11:21:32 AM35 trades$26528 min
3/21/2026, 7:03:51 PM4 trades$2582 min
6/12/2026, 10:04:27 PM6 trades$2582 min
5/15/2026, 7:43:42 AM4 trades$2551 min
4/20/2026, 5:08:48 PM10 trades$2441 min
6/26/2026, 10:52:08 PM2 trades$2390 min
5/8/2026, 7:12:32 PM11 trades$2312 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-14
04-06
04-24
05-15
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.8 / M21.7 / H35.5