@mecodes

#2,654,1701

0x1a3673227f941f54969473458375470fa0bb6962

~10d· 11 markets · 80 tradesVol: $2,5602026-08-04 22:44:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (2/11)0/20
0.34x (win $275 / loss $801)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.4259 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3713 (11 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 294% of peak ($798 / $271)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
💻 TECH#252,374$-172Vol: $2,073
⚽ SPORTS#209,950$26Vol: $427
🎭 CULTURE#643,273$-5Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,560
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
18B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Month
$-13
Vol: $0
All Time
$-151
Vol: $2,560

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-151
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$137
Avg Loss
$-267

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $275 (1.8256478405315615% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$261
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$14

Top Losers

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$-788
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$-10
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.245
Sortino
-0.195
HHI
4387
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.413
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.9%
Top-5 markets
97.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
44s
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
10
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)55.6%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 4:28:49 AM13 trades$6251 min
7/21/2026, 8:23:46 PM18 trades$5771 min
6/7/2026, 2:29:39 AM17 trades$4394 min
7/28/2026, 10:58:23 PM8 trades$2120 min
6/20/2026, 5:11:44 AM4 trades$1330 min
7/4/2026, 9:09:53 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/31/2026, 6:24:15 PM6 trades$690 min
7/19/2026, 7:11:04 PM4 trades$360 min
7/11/2026, 6:05:35 PM4 trades$200 min
6/10/2026, 3:08:03 AM4 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-10
06-27
07-04
07-19
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.3 / M11.1 / H55.6