@skrol1f

#2,944,20824

0x1a51eda51dbd7160fbb12f82a08bbfa2adb751ee

~100d· 182 markets · 709 tradesVol: $72,6482026-08-06 05:39:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (93/179)11/20
0.54x (win $1,097 / loss $2,037)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2050/15
Sortino -3.3690/10
$-0.1025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 955 (179 markets)7.7/10
40/80 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($986 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,846$-294Vol: $30,292
₿ CRYPTO#1,567,534$-308Vol: $25,150
🎭 CULTURE#802,002$-329Vol: $5,951
💰 FINANCE#635,516$-114Vol: $5,296
⚽ SPORTS#1,689,530$-109Vol: $4,873
📈 ECONOMICS#464,918$-1Vol: $85
🌤️ WEATHER#45,150$2Vol: $24
💻 TECH#228,142$-10Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,648
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
182
total markets
Trades
451B / 258S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $11
Week
$5
Vol: $217
Month
$15
Vol: $242
All Time
$-1,134
Vol: $72,648

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
93W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$-1,134
Win Rate
52%
93W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (0.19746610005113646% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$82
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$71
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$68
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$47
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?$45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$33
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$30
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score$26

Top Losers

US government shutdown Saturday?$-366
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-212
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$-129
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$-106
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$-91
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-88
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$-86
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$-83
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$-79
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-68

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.167
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
425
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
39.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1012s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)54.1%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 3:43:39 PM17 trades$2,9430 min
7/30/2026, 8:21:57 AM16 trades$2,0541 min
4/5/2026, 10:27:59 AM4 trades$1,0125 min
4/5/2026, 10:44:05 PM2 trades$9670 min
4/14/2026, 2:47:23 PM3 trades$5930 min
4/5/2026, 11:50:25 AM4 trades$5632 min
4/5/2026, 4:11:13 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/15/2026, 7:50:24 AM4 trades$4950 min
7/30/2026, 12:40:32 PM8 trades$4871 min
7/29/2026, 1:03:24 PM5 trades$4000 min
4/14/2026, 8:43:13 AM7 trades$3200 min
2/4/2026, 6:06:43 PM1 trades$3130 min
2/4/2026, 3:45:17 PM5 trades$3132 min
3/10/2026, 8:36:57 AM2 trades$2811 min
2/4/2026, 6:14:11 PM1 trades$2800 min
1/28/2026, 9:57:56 PM1 trades$2620 min
2/4/2026, 2:50:18 PM2 trades$2571 min
2/20/2026, 8:21:08 PM4 trades$2082 min
7/9/2026, 8:32:19 AM8 trades$2033 min
5/2/2026, 5:59:32 PM1 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
02-10
03-09
04-15
05-12
06-05
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31 / M14.9 / H54.1