@Virgiledumont

#3,018,1650

0x1a549ee6bd09af8af757542efd5b187141b63158

~11d· 9 markets · 71 tradesVol: $76,1212026-08-04 21:05:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (1/7)0/20
0.54x (win $435 / loss $800)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0629 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3242 (7 markets)0/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 188% of peak ($779 / $414)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#814,648$-2,756Vol: $59,207
🏛️ POLITICS#123,410$24Vol: $16,915

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,732
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,121
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
23B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$56
Vol: $0
Week
$74
Vol: $0
Month
$66
Vol: $709
All Time
$-2,732
Vol: $76,121

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
1W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-2,732
Win Rate
14%
1W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$435
Avg Loss
$-133

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $435 (0.15916003850616572% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$435

Top Losers

Netanyahu out by March 31?$-270
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-225
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$-209
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-76
US forces enter Iran by February 28?$-13
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.267
Sortino
-1.219
HHI
159
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.238
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
26%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.4%
High (>55c)4.3%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 11:35:40 AM7 trades$21,8140 min
7/22/2026, 6:34:28 PM19 trades$11,6200 min
2/28/2026, 5:53:49 PM2 trades$1,9371 min
2/22/2026, 5:42:54 PM1 trades$1,1300 min
2/20/2026, 5:43:54 PM8 trades$1,0287 min
2/28/2026, 2:51:53 PM1 trades$4490 min
3/11/2026, 7:27:41 PM1 trades$3160 min
7/24/2026, 11:34:18 AM8 trades$2150 min
7/31/2026, 11:58:20 AM8 trades$2060 min
2/28/2026, 9:17:27 PM3 trades$2044 min
3/15/2026, 11:03:17 AM2 trades$1791 min
3/14/2026, 9:19:23 AM1 trades$910 min
2/28/2026, 10:47:21 AM1 trades$850 min
2/20/2026, 5:19:32 PM1 trades$510 min
8/1/2026, 1:18:03 AM6 trades$330 min
2/28/2026, 11:00:57 PM1 trades$80 min
2/28/2026, 10:12:57 PM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-14
03-15
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 154 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.3 / M17.4 / H4.3