@0x1ae280…7434

#2,030,9379

0x1ae28011807b27d29d349e1959078f13dab4511d

~8d· 38 markets · 110 tradesVol: $2,7642026-08-05 19:02:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (6/36)0/20
0.72x (win $105 / loss $146)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5310/15
Sortino -3.9480/10
$-0.2840 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1261 (36 markets)6.2/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 510% of peak ($72 / $14)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,031,288$-5Vol: $1,077
⚽ SPORTS#1,237,724$-6Vol: $969
🏛️ POLITICS#1,216,924$-7Vol: $718

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,764
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
52B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
6W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
17%
6W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $84 (4.740677966101695% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$36
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-18
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$-14
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-12
Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?$-10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$-5
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-4
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.171
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
2426
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.226
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.4%
Top-5 markets
69.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.28
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)11.5%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 4:34:59 AM2 trades$1670 min
4/27/2026, 12:24:50 PM5 trades$1000 min
6/20/2026, 3:42:25 PM10 trades$971 min
6/22/2026, 2:08:02 AM11 trades$902 min
4/27/2026, 12:40:04 PM2 trades$560 min
6/21/2026, 10:54:52 PM2 trades$560 min
6/20/2026, 11:12:02 PM10 trades$543 min
7/11/2026, 8:09:53 PM5 trades$480 min
6/14/2026, 11:55:28 AM9 trades$424 min
6/21/2026, 4:30:37 AM7 trades$342 min
6/21/2026, 10:45:01 PM4 trades$315 min
7/11/2026, 11:57:55 PM3 trades$220 min
6/22/2026, 8:40:50 PM2 trades$200 min
7/10/2026, 9:50:28 PM2 trades$170 min
6/20/2026, 8:45:10 PM2 trades$150 min
6/21/2026, 9:32:23 PM4 trades$150 min
7/5/2026, 8:14:05 PM4 trades$141 min
6/22/2026, 12:41:11 AM2 trades$130 min
6/22/2026, 11:49:47 AM2 trades$130 min
6/22/2026, 12:15:38 AM2 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
06-14
06-20
06-21
06-22
07-05
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.7 / M30.8 / H11.5