hi-im-luish

@hi-im-luish

#124,85894

0x1b1e733b355e3f328376e55a52b1f38b153d7854

~22d· 68 markets · 216 tradesVol: $11,9802026-08-04 21:51:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (59/68)20/20
2.49x (win $695 / loss $279)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.30415/15
Sortino 80.53510/10
$+0.0828 per $1 invested4.1/10
HHI 626 (68 markets)9.4/10
15/18 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($21 / $416)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+422
Consistent
15/18 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
24 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#89,286$108Vol: $3,479
🏛️ POLITICS#100,553$40Vol: $3,374
💰 FINANCE#19,459$88Vol: $1,648
💻 TECH#6,854$77Vol: $1,554
⚽ SPORTS#118,879$105Vol: $1,525
🎭 CULTURE#69,009$10Vol: $200
📈 ECONOMICS#570,029$-5Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$422
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,980
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
107B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
59W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$422
Win Rate
87%
59W / 9L
Profit Factor
2.49x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $244 (0.5776909413854352% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$112
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?$97
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$35
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$35
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$34
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?$34
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?$31
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$29
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$23
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?$22

Top Losers

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-126
Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?$-51
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$-45
Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?$-21
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?$-16
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?$-15
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.626
Sortino
2.890
HHI
689
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.077
Kelly %
8.3%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
15.7%
Top-5 markets
47.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 452s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.22
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)9.3%
High (>55c)87.9%

Sessions

#12
11/21/2025, 10:14:21 PM4 trades$6383 min
11/18/2025, 4:24:17 PM4 trades$5063 min
6/17/2026, 10:16:07 AM8 trades$4482 min
11/19/2025, 1:23:57 PM4 trades$2983 min
11/15/2025, 8:09:00 PM3 trades$2751 min
6/21/2026, 12:09:38 AM5 trades$2731 min
11/13/2025, 3:52:30 PM2 trades$2630 min
11/15/2025, 10:10:34 PM9 trades$2382 min
11/17/2025, 9:05:43 PM5 trades$2357 min
6/23/2026, 2:22:59 PM11 trades$2316 min
11/12/2025, 8:13:56 PM2 trades$2062 min
11/19/2025, 11:48:47 AM1 trades$2010 min
11/19/2025, 12:21:43 PM2 trades$2010 min
6/16/2026, 9:11:18 AM1 trades$1940 min
11/18/2025, 5:54:27 PM6 trades$19411 min
6/17/2026, 5:30:35 PM15 trades$1651 min
6/22/2026, 9:36:35 AM2 trades$1570 min
6/23/2026, 10:37:05 AM4 trades$1550 min
11/15/2025, 9:26:24 PM1 trades$1460 min
11/13/2025, 3:15:50 PM2 trades$1441 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
11-14
11-18
11-22
06-19
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M9.3 / H87.9