Noesis.exe

@Noesis.exe

#92,88822

0x1b39225998a5616d93222697caf95787f2badaa9

~71d· 461 markets · 2181 tradesVol: $63,3742026-08-04 22:48:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (196/457)6.4/20
0.51x (win $4,469 / loss $8,734)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0580/15
Sortino -2.0740/10
$-0.1503 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 356 (457 markets)10/10
29/54 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 589% of peak ($5,369 / $912)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+777
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#46,748$184Vol: $21,042
SPORTS#206,432$28Vol: $5,614
🌤️ WEATHER#14,439$26Vol: $2,183
💻 TECH#232,895$-16Vol: $781
🎭 CULTURE#656,468$-6Vol: $139
📈 ECONOMICS#34,230$15Vol: $120
CRYPTO#856,990$-1Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$777
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$63,374
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
461
total markets
Trades
1126B / 1055S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $71
Month
$-20
Vol: $71
All Time
$777
Vol: $63,374

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
196W / 261L events
Realized PnL
$777
Win Rate
43%
196W / 261L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,031 (1.326674984243765% of PnL)

Top Winners

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$381
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$339
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$311
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$290
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$256
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner$201
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A$113
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner$104
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$79

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-5,632
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-940
James Comey arrested by May 15?$-269
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-233
James Comey arrested by April 29?$-143
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner$-128
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$-57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$-33
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.107
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
562
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.130
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 3.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.96
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.2%
High (>55c)44.8%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 2:32:32 PM17 trades$1,9855 min
6/9/2026, 4:32:13 PM2 trades$1,4170 min
5/22/2026, 4:53:04 AM2 trades$1,2380 min
5/15/2026, 4:49:38 PM2 trades$1,1530 min
6/30/2026, 11:29:43 AM16 trades$1,1289 min
5/15/2026, 1:27:59 PM2 trades$1,0550 min
4/29/2026, 4:58:56 PM9 trades$9955 min
5/15/2026, 9:06:37 AM2 trades$9250 min
5/15/2026, 9:47:57 AM5 trades$9070 min
5/15/2026, 7:20:25 AM2 trades$8740 min
6/12/2026, 12:40:37 PM18 trades$8353 min
7/15/2026, 3:57:28 AM4 trades$8230 min
5/14/2026, 11:56:49 AM4 trades$7685 min
6/11/2026, 3:37:18 PM2 trades$7350 min
7/14/2026, 3:49:10 PM6 trades$7300 min
5/13/2026, 5:37:33 PM4 trades$7180 min
6/13/2026, 4:13:07 AM1 trades$7150 min
5/21/2026, 2:36:41 PM5 trades$6721 min
6/9/2026, 4:04:09 PM7 trades$6682 min
6/11/2026, 2:32:37 PM5 trades$6641 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-06
06-05
06-14
06-28
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M43.2 / H44.8