MARV-1

@MARV-1

#2,933,40871

0x1b75f92c7093c0fc63b247a31acc1ba35d3d490c

~65d· 207 markets · 782 tradesVol: $64,6372026-08-04 20:21:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (141/205)19.4/20
1.29x (win $1,002 / loss $777)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.14215/15
Sortino 2.07810/10
$+0.0168 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 301 (205 markets)10/10
34/61 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($266 / $477)2.8/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,574,941$-365Vol: $36,232
⚽ SPORTS#1,790,161$-454Vol: $17,434
🎭 CULTURE#793,476$-186Vol: $7,723
🌤️ WEATHER#7,464$91Vol: $2,133
💰 FINANCE#578,711$-12Vol: $470
📈 ECONOMICS#659,062$-99Vol: $418
💻 TECH#229,966$-12Vol: $153
📢 MENTIONS#137,601$-15Vol: $52

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,054
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,637
Total Redeem
$262
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
207
total markets
Trades
328B / 454S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $2,018
Week
$-1
Vol: $3,018
Month
$-164
Vol: $7,808
All Time
$-1,054
Vol: $64,637

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
141W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-1,054
Win Rate
69%
141W / 64L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $519 (0.492963627219328% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$376
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$82
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$61
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?$28
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$26
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$21
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$18
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$16

Top Losers

Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?$-98
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?$-88
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$-80
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?$-73
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$-56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-34
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$-30
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.078
HHI
292
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 406s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)78.4%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 10:20:15 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
8/1/2026, 10:07:27 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
5/8/2026, 6:58:40 PM11 trades$1,3372 min
5/16/2026, 3:43:53 PM6 trades$1,1623 min
5/15/2026, 3:26:47 PM4 trades$1,1442 min
5/8/2026, 6:58:49 AM11 trades$1,1053 min
8/1/2026, 9:09:56 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/3/2026, 4:48:14 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/4/2026, 2:12:24 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/4/2026, 3:52:05 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/16/2026, 3:05:28 PM3 trades$7630 min
5/6/2026, 4:06:13 PM2 trades$6690 min
7/20/2026, 2:34:07 PM5 trades$6220 min
5/7/2026, 2:23:44 AM2 trades$6150 min
5/10/2026, 6:32:10 PM2 trades$5580 min
7/8/2026, 6:06:10 AM45 trades$5585 min
6/21/2026, 1:58:25 PM5 trades$5004 min
5/7/2026, 3:09:16 AM5 trades$4450 min
7/24/2026, 6:47:19 PM10 trades$4021 min
5/19/2026, 11:25:28 AM3 trades$4010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-08
04-24
05-18
06-22
07-08
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M15.9 / H78.4