@ArkiYo

#93,14083

0x1b7c25a160065aaa928f9eb0e929809e512320a6

~112d· 100 markets · 462 tradesVol: $16,0972026-08-05 16:40:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (47/82)13.7/20
1.89x (win $1,979 / loss $1,049)13.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.19715/15
Sortino 6.07510/10
$+0.1572 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 418 (82 markets)10/10
28/50 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($369 / $930)6.1/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+774
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#25,315$571Vol: $13,656
📈 ECONOMICS#8,873$179Vol: $2,185
🎭 CULTURE#662,248$-7Vol: $171
⚽ SPORTS#198,807$31Vol: $85

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$774
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,097
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
249B / 213S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-35
Vol: $150
Month
$-47
Vol: $150
All Time
$774
Vol: $16,097

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
47W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$774
Win Rate
57%
47W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,016 (1.3130603281229813% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$505
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$300
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$211
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$151
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?$106
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$97
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?$83
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$25

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-224
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-146
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-142
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-80
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$-60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-59
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?$-56
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-39
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.166
Sortino
0.232
HHI
318
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.186
Kelly %
13.9%
Half-Kelly
7.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
33.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)52.6%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 10:09:37 AM4 trades$5940 min
5/7/2026, 3:26:34 PM8 trades$3602 min
7/30/2026, 5:31:32 PM2 trades$3000 min
10/22/2025, 8:14:37 PM4 trades$2933 min
6/13/2026, 1:08:25 PM10 trades$2583 min
6/15/2026, 2:52:01 AM4 trades$2360 min
7/13/2026, 6:41:13 PM6 trades$2324 min
6/6/2026, 5:55:58 PM2 trades$2310 min
10/22/2025, 8:24:39 PM7 trades$2239 min
4/25/2026, 5:07:54 PM10 trades$2121 min
7/7/2026, 4:59:22 AM4 trades$1930 min
6/29/2026, 5:02:16 AM2 trades$1920 min
7/30/2026, 5:26:00 PM4 trades$1840 min
6/4/2026, 5:07:24 AM2 trades$1780 min
4/25/2026, 4:39:04 PM5 trades$1600 min
6/17/2026, 5:10:53 AM6 trades$1590 min
6/24/2026, 10:31:16 AM5 trades$1560 min
6/7/2026, 4:17:36 AM10 trades$1371 min
6/29/2026, 4:55:35 AM2 trades$1270 min
5/5/2026, 11:34:34 AM2 trades$1230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
07-12
08-31
10-26
11-25
03-11
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M41 / H52.6