@caiying

#2,857,89910

0x1bb07b32d2040235ffc71adffb3a6a4d7fc32b36

~33d· 158 markets · 795 tradesVol: $23,4842026-08-03 20:30:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (21/76)0/20
0.64x (win $439 / loss $684)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9770/15
Sortino -5.9550/10
$-0.0610 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 245 (76 markets)10/10
8/28 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 501% of peak ($307 / $61)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,552,150$-161Vol: $10,180
💰 FINANCE#630,000$-92Vol: $4,032
₿ CRYPTO#1,444,879$-83Vol: $2,829
⚽ SPORTS#1,661,050$-89Vol: $2,570
🎭 CULTURE#745,001$-32Vol: $1,066
🌤️ WEATHER#270,026$-34Vol: $924
📈 ECONOMICS#589,931$-8Vol: $409
💻 TECH#207,272$-3Vol: $294
📢 MENTIONS#52,721$0Vol: $94

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-537
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,484
Total Redeem
$45
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
545B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-537
Vol: $23,484

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
21W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-537
Win Rate
28%
21W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $248 (0.4623121193496117% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$110
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$93
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?$24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?$19
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will Team Vitality be the last EMEA team standing at Masters London$14
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$13

Top Losers

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$-73
Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-45
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-38
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$-37
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-28
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-26
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$-26
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 20 and 21 cents?$-26
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.256
Sortino
-0.341
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.134
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 864s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.6%
High (>55c)41.3%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 11:34:08 AM14 trades$2201 min
6/14/2026, 12:28:43 AM9 trades$1682 min
6/13/2026, 3:00:40 PM8 trades$14310 min
6/19/2026, 1:46:29 AM16 trades$1264 min
6/14/2026, 7:37:42 AM8 trades$1141 min
6/14/2026, 1:38:40 AM4 trades$1103 min
6/13/2026, 11:46:39 PM4 trades$1101 min
6/13/2026, 2:07:24 PM4 trades$941 min
6/13/2026, 8:00:54 AM6 trades$857 min
6/25/2026, 2:41:22 AM4 trades$840 min
6/13/2026, 11:31:22 PM4 trades$811 min
6/14/2026, 1:05:01 AM4 trades$793 min
6/17/2026, 1:40:25 PM4 trades$612 min
7/1/2026, 7:38:43 AM4 trades$600 min
6/29/2026, 11:48:47 PM4 trades$600 min
6/28/2026, 5:59:55 PM4 trades$580 min
6/18/2026, 1:38:38 PM7 trades$581 min
6/22/2026, 7:48:08 PM7 trades$585 min
6/25/2026, 6:18:52 PM4 trades$580 min
6/20/2026, 1:19:17 AM4 trades$571 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-21
04-28
06-15
06-19
06-24
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.1 / M37.6 / H41.3