PMPAndrew

@PMPAndrew

#2,836,42853

0x1bbe9ef12609719ec059a8815864df7153131559

~254d· 485 markets · 2559 tradesVol: $683,521 @PMP_Andrew2026-08-04 22:10:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (147/443)1.6/20
1.42x (win $60,452 / loss $42,467)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.95615/15
Sortino 2.31210/10
$+0.1570 per $1 invested7.8/10
HHI 660 (443 markets)9.2/10
67/191 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($15,333 / $17,985)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$114,583 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,632$-5,602Vol: $341,591
📈 ECONOMICS#799$7,148Vol: $151,728
SPORTS#1,860,391$-2,500Vol: $112,350
CRYPTO#40,434$576Vol: $25,319
💰 FINANCE#6,462$534Vol: $22,912
🎭 CULTURE#782,881$-105Vol: $8,568
💻 TECH#251,444$-143Vol: $2,774
🌤️ WEATHER#7,645$87Vol: $591
📢 MENTIONS#9,544$46Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-455
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$683,521
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
485
total markets
Trades
1164B / 1395S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~254d

Periods

#2
Today
$-353
Vol: $0
Week
$-286
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,035
Vol: $0
All Time
$-455
Vol: $683,521

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
146W / 296L events
Realized PnL
$-455
Win Rate
33%
146W / 296L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$411
Avg Loss
$-148

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,376 (82.1639077579195% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$16,984
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15,707
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4,685
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2,281
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,125
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1,611
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1,448
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,235
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,222
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1,119

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,205
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-2,279
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-1,404
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-1,200
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,111
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-882
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-800
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-760
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-720
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-674

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.050
Sortino
0.101
HHI
1626
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.121
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.5%
Top-5 markets
66.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 852s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.13
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.3%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)30.8%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 12:05:52 PM28 trades$13,6370 min
6/6/2026, 6:32:19 PM32 trades$8,8858 min
4/23/2026, 1:17:46 PM43 trades$7,8878 min
6/9/2026, 2:02:00 PM14 trades$6,3690 min
6/19/2026, 9:56:01 PM33 trades$4,8701 min
6/6/2026, 10:40:31 PM14 trades$4,5862 min
6/20/2026, 2:06:40 AM5 trades$3,8520 min
5/31/2026, 3:35:33 PM16 trades$3,6921 min
6/8/2026, 11:21:30 AM19 trades$3,6021 min
6/8/2026, 11:34:01 PM30 trades$3,5436 min
4/7/2026, 11:14:53 PM2 trades$3,3330 min
6/12/2026, 5:14:48 PM49 trades$3,1644 min
4/4/2026, 12:06:13 AM4 trades$2,8171 min
7/6/2026, 11:18:26 PM1 trades$2,7180 min
6/3/2026, 8:20:40 PM22 trades$2,4930 min
5/23/2026, 11:47:16 PM2 trades$2,3810 min
7/7/2026, 4:57:20 PM5 trades$2,3590 min
5/25/2026, 1:05:58 AM18 trades$2,2694 min
5/24/2026, 2:33:37 PM6 trades$2,1551 min
6/13/2026, 12:19:19 PM16 trades$2,0671 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-14
10-17
12-05
02-05
03-18
05-04
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.3 / M35 / H30.8