@0x1c535f…2838

#2,162,61840

0x1c535f4e73cb07b36010fdcd6e280c341146e30a

~93d· 133 markets · 197 tradesVol: $2,6792026-08-04 21:24:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (108/133)20/20
0.15x (win $9 / loss $58)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9310/15
Sortino -1.9260/10
$-0.0303 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 121 (133 markets)10/10
77/93 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 9843% of peak ($50 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Consistent
77/93 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#224,887$-4Vol: $2,348
🏛️ POLITICS#247,445$3Vol: $223
🎭 CULTURE#268,439$0Vol: $53
📈 ECONOMICS#163,234$0Vol: $30
📢 MENTIONS#147,074$-25Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,679
Total Redeem
$70
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
137B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $8
Week
$0
Vol: $31
Month
$0
Vol: $39
All Time
$-26
Vol: $2,679

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
108W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-26
Win Rate
81%
108W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.20563271604938266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by June 30?$3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 3?$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$0
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 15?$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 11?$0

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 25?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.47
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 43672s — normal for humanCV 0.47 — uniform order sizes44% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.52
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 8:54:32 AM2 trades$490 min
4/29/2026, 1:42:50 PM2 trades$490 min
4/28/2026, 1:51:08 AM2 trades$480 min
4/5/2026, 1:49:53 AM2 trades$440 min
4/4/2026, 10:43:57 AM2 trades$440 min
4/1/2026, 10:06:49 AM2 trades$440 min
5/15/2026, 5:06:21 AM2 trades$260 min
5/3/2026, 3:38:26 AM2 trades$250 min
5/2/2026, 3:08:26 PM2 trades$240 min
4/28/2026, 8:34:22 AM2 trades$240 min
4/27/2026, 2:17:42 PM3 trades$240 min
4/27/2026, 2:11:14 AM3 trades$240 min
4/26/2026, 10:29:10 AM2 trades$240 min
4/25/2026, 3:17:28 PM2 trades$240 min
4/24/2026, 9:10:14 AM2 trades$240 min
4/8/2026, 3:32:49 AM2 trades$220 min
4/3/2026, 8:06:29 AM2 trades$220 min
4/2/2026, 5:08:59 PM2 trades$220 min
4/2/2026, 5:24:01 AM2 trades$220 min
3/10/2026, 1:46:19 PM1 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
01-21
02-15
03-05
04-30
06-14
07-16
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100