Palolo

@Palolo

#101,23525

0x1c7ebd5c1718e36b9c244d153ed6fa081b00b429

~43d· 493 markets · 3545 tradesVol: $54,1892026-08-04 23:19:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (273/485)13.1/20
0.80x (win $1,509 / loss $1,892)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0730/15
Sortino -2.4060/10
$-0.0572 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 398 (485 markets)10/10
16/41 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($632 / $249)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+665
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#36,482$705Vol: $43,070
SPORTS#1,555,460$-38Vol: $4,183
🏛️ POLITICS#1,009,557$-2Vol: $862
🌤️ WEATHER#51,848$1Vol: $40
🎭 CULTURE#467,239$-0Vol: $18
💰 FINANCE#347,208$-0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,189
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
493
total markets
Trades
1812B / 1733S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$537
Vol: $6,111
Week
$471
Vol: $17,505
Month
$368
Vol: $19,026
All Time
$665
Vol: $54,189

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
273W / 212L events
Realized PnL
$665
Win Rate
56%
273W / 212L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $321 (0.4822427377157634% of PnL)

Top Winners

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$194
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner$71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$55
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$41
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers$41
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$37
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$35
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner$35

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-440
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$-83
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$-70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-58
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$-50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner$-49
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 1 Winner$-33
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs$-30
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.107
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
297
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
31.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
66.9
Very active
Markets / Day
9.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 81s — normal for humanCV 3.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock67 trades/day — mass trading9.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.8%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 9:05:02 AM144 trades$1,6290 min
6/21/2026, 1:04:52 PM6 trades$3625 min
6/21/2026, 5:15:59 PM4 trades$3532 min
6/13/2026, 6:27:21 AM152 trades$34734 min
6/20/2026, 9:15:14 PM2 trades$3290 min
6/20/2026, 7:13:55 PM2 trades$3160 min
6/21/2026, 10:22:14 AM11 trades$2965 min
6/14/2026, 6:58:18 AM4 trades$2900 min
6/21/2026, 4:30:10 PM5 trades$2714 min
6/21/2026, 10:53:56 AM7 trades$2201 min
6/13/2026, 8:37:45 AM60 trades$20832 min
6/21/2026, 10:07:07 AM9 trades$1867 min
6/21/2026, 1:31:52 PM4 trades$1760 min
6/13/2026, 7:32:40 AM86 trades$17620 min
6/29/2026, 1:57:23 PM4 trades$1620 min
6/21/2026, 12:06:04 PM2 trades$1510 min
6/21/2026, 6:57:56 PM63 trades$13326 min
7/30/2026, 7:37:56 AM88 trades$13116 min
6/30/2026, 2:23:55 PM11 trades$1189 min
6/21/2026, 11:01:08 AM3 trades$1153 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-19
07-02
07-10
07-17
07-24
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M23.8 / H68.8