@0x1cd2…c304

53

0x1cd2da1d25c07776dcc6bfee2c5589da2d98c304

~23d· 71 markets · 863 trades2026-08-05 00:12:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (29/71)5.4/20
1.16x (win $5,089 / loss $4,396)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57915/15
Sortino 2.41910/10
$+0.0784 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 442 (71 markets)10/10
11/23 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($1,580 / $2,215)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+8,512
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,512
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,841
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
384B / 479S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
29W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$8,512
Win Rate
41%
29W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$176
Avg Loss
$-110

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,544 (0.29890718214649065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$1,512
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?$534
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?$498
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?$488
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?$352
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 18?$247
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?$228
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$194
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?$193
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?$104

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$-2,419
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?$-830
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 15?$-213
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$-151
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?$-80
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?$-78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?$-77
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 17?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 26?$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.101
HHI
624
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
45.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 261s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.1%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)51%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 11:05:51 AM2 trades$1,6640 min
7/13/2026, 1:40:49 PM34 trades$1,5734 min
7/17/2026, 6:22:06 PM8 trades$1,3360 min
7/7/2026, 4:37:04 AM29 trades$1,2580 min
7/17/2026, 6:10:16 PM12 trades$1,0640 min
7/8/2026, 10:54:10 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/20/2026, 9:14:46 AM30 trades$9674 min
7/19/2026, 10:22:21 PM13 trades$9181 min
7/20/2026, 9:24:09 AM14 trades$8914 min
6/17/2026, 8:35:34 PM19 trades$7067 min
7/11/2026, 8:48:43 PM19 trades$5375 min
7/15/2026, 12:45:41 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/15/2026, 10:17:26 PM3 trades$4970 min
7/8/2026, 9:59:08 PM8 trades$4501 min
7/8/2026, 9:10:59 PM10 trades$4450 min
7/13/2026, 6:57:52 PM15 trades$4290 min
6/17/2026, 5:21:41 PM13 trades$4137 min
7/20/2026, 12:50:04 AM4 trades$4052 min
6/17/2026, 1:19:46 PM15 trades$3581 min
7/17/2026, 7:59:39 PM20 trades$35411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-20
06-23
06-26
07-08
07-13
07-18
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.1 / M8.9 / H51