Basado

@Basado

#381,73087

0x1cd518d1253ac81cbc5d5c80fc707cbe27bd1406

~43d· 39 markets · 91 tradesVol: $3,6332026-08-04 21:00:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (33/37)20/20
10.18x (win $31 / loss $3)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.34115/15
Sortino 52.09710/10
$+0.0270 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 1349 (37 markets)5.8/10
30/34 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($2 / $28)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+27
Consistent
30/34 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#14,993$24Vol: $3,168
⚽ SPORTS#931,488$-1Vol: $223
🏛️ POLITICS#223,953$5Vol: $210
🎭 CULTURE#155,728$1Vol: $3
📈 ECONOMICS#474,175$-1Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,633
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
48B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $71
Week
$2
Vol: $142
Month
$2
Vol: $214
All Time
$27
Vol: $3,633

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
33W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$27
Win Rate
89%
33W / 4L
Profit Factor
10.18x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.6280931586608443% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?$2
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$2
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$1
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on July 14?$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9?$1
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on July 7?$1

Top Losers

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$-1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?$-1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.430
Sortino
810.000
HHI
2109
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.2%
Top-5 markets
78.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
12.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42572s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)89.6%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2026, 11:03:36 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/10/2026, 7:54:46 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/15/2026, 5:38:04 AM5 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 6:07:01 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/19/2026, 6:03:25 AM3 trades$1000 min
6/17/2026, 5:20:52 AM2 trades$1000 min
4/19/2026, 9:04:10 PM1 trades$890 min
7/12/2026, 10:23:47 AM2 trades$700 min
6/9/2026, 6:41:37 PM4 trades$311 min
7/5/2026, 8:54:41 AM2 trades$300 min
7/9/2026, 1:41:02 PM2 trades$300 min
4/19/2026, 9:10:16 AM5 trades$214 min
6/15/2026, 11:35:54 AM3 trades$200 min
6/18/2026, 4:15:20 AM4 trades$170 min
4/3/2026, 9:13:25 AM2 trades$160 min
6/7/2026, 9:04:40 AM5 trades$123 min
6/6/2026, 9:14:22 AM4 trades$113 min
4/18/2026, 11:41:48 AM2 trades$110 min
6/4/2026, 6:58:18 AM2 trades$100 min
6/20/2026, 5:24:55 AM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
12-08
01-13
04-14
06-06
06-15
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
43.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M6.2 / H89.6