@joshuabaker

#1,505,6388

0x1ce9333e5cc8c86e9dafaa0a565b9093514a4cf4

~39d· 66 markets · 130 tradesVol: $8,8602026-08-04 23:04:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (25/66)3.9/20
0.33x (win $2 / loss $5)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6180/15
Sortino -2.6060/10
$-0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2294 (66 markets)1/10
17/39 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 5038% of peak ($4 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,145,338$-3Vol: $7,081
🎭 CULTURE#500,938$-1Vol: $1,531
₿ CRYPTO#448,047$1Vol: $118
💰 FINANCE#201,919$0Vol: $100
🏛️ POLITICS#555,316$0Vol: $3
🌤️ WEATHER#148,291$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,860
Total Redeem
$26
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
81B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3
Vol: $8,860

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
25W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
38%
25W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.2974683544303797% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lakers vs. Kings$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?$0
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?$0
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?$0
Cardinals vs. Panthers$0
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in July?$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?$0

Top Losers

Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Bucks vs. Cavaliers$-0
Rangers vs. Stars$-0
Knicks vs. Timberwolves$-0
Maple Leafs vs. Stars$-0
76ers vs. Cavaliers$-0
Pacers vs. Suns$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
2204
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
25.0%
Half-Kelly
12.5%
Top-1 market
35.4%
Top-5 markets
89.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 865s — normal for humanCV 3.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)24.7%
High (>55c)75.3%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2025, 2:08:17 PM1 trades$7730 min
4/1/2025, 2:15:29 PM1 trades$7720 min
4/1/2025, 6:50:24 AM1 trades$7720 min
4/1/2025, 9:22:02 AM1 trades$7710 min
4/1/2025, 12:17:17 PM1 trades$7700 min
4/1/2025, 1:16:17 PM1 trades$7690 min
4/1/2025, 10:23:33 AM1 trades$7630 min
4/1/2025, 10:33:39 AM1 trades$7630 min
4/1/2025, 3:59:53 PM1 trades$7610 min
4/1/2025, 5:03:41 PM1 trades$7600 min
4/25/2026, 7:21:46 PM2 trades$490 min
6/19/2026, 11:16:49 AM2 trades$490 min
5/26/2026, 3:31:06 AM2 trades$460 min
12/18/2024, 10:07:18 PM2 trades$412 min
12/17/2024, 6:23:06 PM4 trades$343 min
11/27/2025, 5:22:25 AM1 trades$260 min
10/19/2025, 12:29:19 AM1 trades$240 min
12/17/2024, 7:45:54 PM3 trades$234 min
12/17/2024, 7:56:45 PM3 trades$232 min
3/25/2026, 1:50:55 PM1 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
01-08
01-30
03-25
06-24
01-25
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 105 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M24.7 / H75.3