@0x1Ceb26…7171

#2,447,83419

0x1ceb260c7d716fc7c5d69d44dea2b8500f3e609d

~23d· 51 markets · 191 tradesVol: $2,3082026-08-04 18:59:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (21/51)5.6/20
0.67x (win $362 / loss $542)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7490/15
Sortino -2.8960/10
$-0.1862 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1069 (51 markets)7.2/10
13/23 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 899% of peak ($226 / $25)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,635,372$-70Vol: $1,603
🏛️ POLITICS#1,151,939$-5Vol: $588
CRYPTO#327,375$3Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#512,008$-2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-69
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,308
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
119B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
21W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-69
Win Rate
41%
21W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $280 (4.02706593723006% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$251
Spain to win the second half?$16
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-16?$13
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins$12
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5$12
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves$9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12AM ET$7
Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$6

Top Losers

Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$-150
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5$-136
Ecuador vs. Germany: Second half draw?$-103
Heat vs. Cavaliers$-99
Will Mauro Gattinoni win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election?$-17
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad end in a draw?$-7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners$-5
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-5
Nuggets vs. Spurs$-3
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
1040
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.186
Kelly %
0.2%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
20.4%
Top-5 markets
64.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 304s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)58%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 2:59:43 PM29 trades$7655 min
6/4/2026, 4:12:37 PM14 trades$2685 min
6/4/2026, 3:25:22 PM8 trades$1892 min
6/4/2026, 11:39:49 AM7 trades$1884 min
7/13/2026, 5:22:52 PM4 trades$400 min
3/7/2026, 11:05:33 PM1 trades$250 min
7/2/2026, 6:38:13 PM2 trades$200 min
3/7/2026, 8:26:31 PM1 trades$190 min
3/6/2026, 5:31:17 PM8 trades$1518 min
3/6/2026, 8:00:53 PM3 trades$158 min
3/28/2026, 11:28:50 PM3 trades$71 min
3/6/2026, 8:18:41 PM2 trades$70 min
3/6/2026, 6:51:31 PM3 trades$75 min
3/6/2026, 7:01:39 PM2 trades$70 min
3/6/2026, 10:59:33 AM3 trades$60 min
3/25/2026, 4:29:17 PM2 trades$65 min
3/25/2026, 5:29:49 PM2 trades$65 min
4/2/2026, 4:33:51 AM2 trades$60 min
3/28/2026, 8:39:40 PM2 trades$51 min
3/28/2026, 8:34:14 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-06
03-09
03-13
03-19
03-29
04-02
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M38.7 / H58