OswaldJeames

@OswaldJeames

#733,21959

0x1d0c8d2ea54af078bdd5a654e473efe33fbb1d1d

~13d· 77 markets · 212 tradesVol: $5622026-08-05 00:38:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (19/76)0/20
2.62x (win $2 / loss $1)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.69615/15
Sortino 23.39510/10
$+0.0031 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 316 (76 markets)10/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($0 / $1)5/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#433,261$-0Vol: $119
₿ CRYPTO#766,361$-0Vol: $111
🏛️ POLITICS#665,258$-0Vol: $101
💰 FINANCE#187,894$0Vol: $64
📈 ECONOMICS#335,405$-0Vol: $55
🌤️ WEATHER#160,611$-0Vol: $45
⚽ SPORTS#430,859$1Vol: $37
💻 TECH#141,062$-0Vol: $20
📢 MENTIONS#65,780$-0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$562
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
81B / 131S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1
Vol: $562

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
19W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
25%
19W / 57L
Profit Factor
2.61x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (1.5394736842105265% of PnL)

Top Winners

Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Tom Gentzsch$1
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?$0
Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$0
Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10?$0
Tony Gonzalez charged by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?$-0
Russia announces air truce by August 31?$-0
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$-0
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$-0
Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0
Will Harris English win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?$-0
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?$-0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-0
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?$-0
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.286
Sortino
1.429
HHI
358
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
9.7%
Half-Kelly
4.9%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
56s
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.99
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)98.8%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 8:15:09 AM16 trades$8111 min
3/28/2026, 10:12:17 AM11 trades$805 min
8/31/2025, 5:20:12 PM33 trades$796 min
2/15/2026, 10:23:17 AM22 trades$7316 min
3/4/2026, 4:43:23 AM11 trades$586 min
1/28/2026, 4:54:42 PM15 trades$3510 min
10/30/2025, 5:36:55 AM16 trades$287 min
11/11/2025, 8:47:06 AM17 trades$2218 min
10/30/2025, 5:27:15 AM5 trades$201 min
12/5/2025, 12:46:19 PM15 trades$1210 min
5/9/2026, 8:43:18 AM4 trades$110 min
7/3/2026, 2:20:43 AM4 trades$114 min
3/9/2026, 3:09:23 AM4 trades$103 min
12/5/2025, 1:02:11 PM13 trades$99 min
7/3/2026, 2:29:23 AM6 trades$72 min
2/23/2025, 6:50:28 PM13 trades$57 min
1/4/2025, 11:22:31 PM4 trades$44 min
7/3/2026, 2:38:20 AM2 trades$40 min
3/4/2026, 4:57:37 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
08-31
11-11
01-28
03-04
03-28
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.2 / H98.8