@desth59

#3,056,8262

0x1d5722b395ae13a89aa8a05c2f12915897e2c5b6

~46d· 59 markets · 649 tradesVol: $254,4322026-08-04 16:21:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (11/59)0/20
0.40x (win $6,279 / loss $15,700)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5830/15
Sortino -5.3350/10
$-0.3270 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2140 (59 markets)1.8/10
7/31 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 440% of peak ($12,190 / $2,769)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,613,184$-984Vol: $178,259
💰 FINANCE#659,518$-4,521Vol: $47,824
⚽ SPORTS#1,853,988$-2,008Vol: $17,000
📈 ECONOMICS#628,687$-20Vol: $2,538
🎭 CULTURE#13,971$199Vol: $910

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,282
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$254,432
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
178B / 471S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
11W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$-9,282
Win Rate
19%
11W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$571
Avg Loss
$-334

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,929 (0.5310354486153978% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2,402
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1,879
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?$649
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$451
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$219
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$217
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$199
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$168
US government shutdown by October 1?$54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$30

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$-3,650
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$-3,448
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$-1,054
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$-1,041
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-730
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8?$-676
Will the fight be won by submission?$-495
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$-469
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$-412
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026?$-409

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.276
HHI
819
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.292
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
53.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)36.5%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 12:08:33 AM2 trades$16,5750 min
4/1/2026, 9:31:29 PM4 trades$13,7420 min
5/10/2026, 1:30:05 AM3 trades$5,0000 min
4/17/2026, 1:03:18 PM4 trades$4,9830 min
4/17/2026, 8:29:52 AM17 trades$4,3320 min
6/27/2026, 11:28:02 PM53 trades$3,6174 min
6/5/2026, 9:27:15 PM11 trades$2,6734 min
5/9/2026, 5:33:55 AM25 trades$2,6514 min
5/10/2026, 3:32:49 AM3 trades$2,3400 min
4/1/2026, 9:34:01 AM10 trades$2,2080 min
5/15/2026, 11:49:36 AM7 trades$2,0103 min
5/9/2026, 10:09:19 PM16 trades$1,9304 min
5/10/2026, 3:11:21 AM6 trades$1,7001 min
5/9/2026, 10:38:50 PM50 trades$1,6427 min
9/30/2025, 3:46:39 AM1 trades$1,6000 min
9/28/2025, 2:48:17 PM5 trades$1,4214 min
6/7/2026, 10:27:46 PM26 trades$1,3943 min
6/8/2026, 2:30:12 AM4 trades$1,3850 min
9/29/2025, 5:55:23 AM1 trades$1,3570 min
9/29/2025, 8:19:57 AM1 trades$1,3570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-28
11-24
02-02
03-15
04-02
05-17
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.8 / M19.7 / H36.5