@howardalan
#1,750,526120x1d6eee7ea772dbabd4e3811b981e553a45614171
~32d· 56 markets · 161 tradesVol: $17,9062026-08-04 23:03:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (22/53)5.8/20
0.46x (win $2 / loss $3)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8900/15
Sortino -2.9150/10
$-0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6663 (53 markets)0/10
17/31 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 22500% of peak ($2 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,179,988$-6Vol: $11,769
⚽ SPORTS#1,112,344$-3Vol: $6,000
💰 FINANCE#207,098$0Vol: $67
₿ CRYPTO#473,742$0Vol: $57
🎭 CULTURE#323,198$0Vol: $7
🌤️ WEATHER#147,584$0Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,906
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
92B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8
Vol: $17,906
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
22W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
42%
22W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.10745891276864729% of PnL)
Top Winners
Saints vs. Giants$0
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?$0
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in June?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?$0
Will Apple reach $324 in April?$0
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?$0
Dogecoin above $0.34 on January 17?$0
Avalanche vs. Penguins$0
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?$0
Will Solana dip to $140 by January 31, 2025?$0
Top Losers
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?$-0
Jets vs. Dolphins$-0
Raiders vs. Buccaneers$-0
Suns vs. Pelicans$-0
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-08?$-0
Suns vs. Heat$-0
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?$-0
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?$-0
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.149
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
591
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
25.4%
Half-Kelly
12.7%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
26.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 4.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)32.6%
High (>55c)64.1%
Sessions
#1211/25/2025, 1:17:47 PM1 trades$2,0460 min
11/25/2025, 1:35:09 PM1 trades$2,0440 min
11/25/2025, 11:23:53 AM1 trades$2,0440 min
11/25/2025, 11:41:57 AM1 trades$2,0420 min
11/25/2025, 11:58:51 AM1 trades$1,9230 min
11/25/2025, 12:18:23 PM1 trades$1,9210 min
11/25/2025, 12:39:07 PM1 trades$1,8750 min
11/25/2025, 12:59:51 PM1 trades$1,8730 min
12/7/2024, 7:20:50 AM7 trades$617 min
12/6/2024, 10:36:14 AM7 trades$516 min
12/3/2024, 2:30:40 PM4 trades$483 min
12/6/2024, 2:01:14 PM2 trades$422 min
12/6/2024, 12:11:36 AM2 trades$394 min
12/5/2024, 6:49:43 PM6 trades$385 min
4/23/2026, 1:55:20 AM2 trades$330 min
12/4/2024, 4:49:21 PM2 trades$312 min
6/24/2026, 9:53:52 PM2 trades$310 min
12/6/2024, 4:32:18 AM4 trades$283 min
12/6/2024, 8:48:09 AM4 trades$275 min
12/6/2024, 10:58:51 AM6 trades$226 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
01-05
01-19
02-27
05-24
11-25
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 358 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M32.6 / H64.1