@dragose

#2,668,5289

0x1de8e3403020b8b978057e9a451c2dde81f8c148

~14d· 59 markets · 382 tradesVol: $30,5542026-08-04 19:59:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (17/46)3.5/20
0.83x (win $164 / loss $198)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0130/15
Sortino -2.5220/10
$-0.0739 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5757 (46 markets)0/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1340% of peak ($90 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#287,254$-124Vol: $20,672
🏛️ POLITICS#1,369,539$-19Vol: $5,478
⚽ SPORTS#1,335,708$-10Vol: $3,397
📈 ECONOMICS#610,007$-13Vol: $513
₿ CRYPTO#316,076$4Vol: $463
💻 TECH#162,287$-0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,554
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
163B / 219S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $30
Month
$-31
Vol: $10,093
All Time
$-162
Vol: $30,554

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
17W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-162
Win Rate
37%
17W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (0.5759068793496335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 25?$36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$29
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$12
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?$11
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2

Top Losers

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-44
Netanyahu out by July 31?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?$-25
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$-10
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.102
Sortino
-0.120
HHI
177
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
24%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.89
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.2%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)36.8%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 2:40:15 PM2 trades$3,3330 min
6/24/2026, 3:18:20 PM42 trades$1,1503 min
6/24/2026, 3:34:44 PM43 trades$48017 min
6/24/2026, 4:01:10 PM5 trades$2570 min
6/24/2026, 4:12:43 PM11 trades$2533 min
6/24/2026, 4:39:58 PM6 trades$900 min
6/24/2026, 4:51:37 PM18 trades$801 min
6/24/2026, 4:59:55 PM12 trades$500 min
6/9/2026, 12:18:34 PM20 trades$3916 min
7/23/2026, 3:25:33 PM6 trades$330 min
8/2/2026, 7:11:09 AM5 trades$300 min
7/23/2026, 9:40:31 AM12 trades$275 min
7/23/2026, 9:33:07 AM19 trades$262 min
7/23/2026, 10:43:21 PM10 trades$225 min
6/24/2026, 4:30:37 PM4 trades$200 min
6/24/2026, 8:33:11 PM8 trades$200 min
6/24/2026, 7:27:46 PM4 trades$190 min
7/23/2026, 8:41:57 AM8 trades$191 min
7/23/2026, 4:03:49 PM2 trades$170 min
7/9/2026, 9:48:19 AM3 trades$160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-24
07-09
07-22
07-24
07-27
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.89/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.2 / M38 / H36.8