@xfm-10-2

#268,2423

0x1ed6e0b4fe686dc90b9aea42d95c7a084617aa98

~8d· 9 markets · 27 tradesVol: $3,5402026-08-05 01:19:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (1/6)0/20
0.11x (win $34 / loss $312)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1764 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1927 (6 markets)2.9/10
1/6 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 918% of peak ($312 / $34)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+77

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#575,406$-11Vol: $2,840
📈 ECONOMICS#17,509$54Vol: $360
🎭 CULTURE#37,593$34Vol: $340

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,540
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
14B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Month
$-9
Vol: $0
All Time
$77
Vol: $3,540

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
1W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$77
Win Rate
17%
1W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.44041450777202074% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$34

Top Losers

Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?$-192
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$-99
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$-20
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$-1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.552
Sortino
-0.559
HHI
298
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.481
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
36.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
10
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)71.4%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 2:42:19 AM4 trades$5642 min
4/16/2026, 9:50:56 AM4 trades$3705 min
3/29/2026, 10:34:30 AM3 trades$3293 min
6/24/2026, 9:55:25 AM5 trades$2840 min
2/16/2026, 5:00:47 AM3 trades$2575 min
2/13/2026, 4:49:15 AM2 trades$2372 min
2/20/2026, 3:13:36 PM2 trades$2071 min
6/24/2026, 10:03:35 AM2 trades$2000 min
2/6/2026, 2:49:25 PM1 trades$710 min
5/25/2026, 3:29:35 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-16
02-20
03-29
04-16
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.3 / M14.3 / H71.4