@dontbetthis

#2,857,62212

0x1f17bb72bb8b038a92b61288819141451b2bc1db

~21d· 192 markets · 1552 tradesVol: $616,1572026-08-04 17:19:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (15/192)0/20
0.98x (win $13,697 / loss $13,983)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2380/15
Sortino -0.4870/10
$-0.0164 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 151 (192 markets)10/10
3/20 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($5,491 / $4,577)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,798,805$-531Vol: $616,157

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-531
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$616,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
763B / 789S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
15W / 177L events
Realized PnL
$-531
Win Rate
8%
15W / 177L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$913
Avg Loss
$-81

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,997 (13.170616470588234% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$3,484
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$2,109
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1,404
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1,400
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$1,328
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$890
Spread: England (-1.5)$628
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$621
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$374
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?$344

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-1,040
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?$-528
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$-513
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?$-462
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$-427
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$-381
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-350
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?$-342
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$-318
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-293

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.012
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
773
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
47.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
43.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.0m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 3.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule43 trades/day — high frequency5.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)18.5%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 5:57:31 PM36 trades$12,37010 min
6/20/2026, 3:57:05 AM29 trades$11,45811 min
6/16/2026, 12:12:54 AM37 trades$11,40818 min
7/5/2026, 10:01:23 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/18/2026, 7:01:53 PM24 trades$9,0399 min
6/17/2026, 12:03:29 AM40 trades$8,39517 min
6/17/2026, 3:07:01 AM67 trades$8,1888 min
6/16/2026, 9:29:04 PM29 trades$7,7561 min
7/3/2026, 7:26:29 PM14 trades$7,5941 min
6/17/2026, 10:47:13 PM31 trades$7,4613 min
6/16/2026, 3:05:24 AM41 trades$6,1178 min
6/14/2026, 10:20:01 PM8 trades$5,1754 min
6/17/2026, 10:02:19 PM46 trades$4,5986 min
6/16/2026, 10:59:41 PM5 trades$4,3405 min
6/15/2026, 10:04:37 PM105 trades$3,72613 min
6/15/2026, 4:21:15 AM25 trades$3,7059 min
6/16/2026, 9:17:46 PM91 trades$3,7015 min
6/14/2026, 3:33:28 AM4 trades$3,6022 min
6/15/2026, 1:35:43 AM4 trades$3,2001 min
6/21/2026, 9:59:26 PM8 trades$3,1835 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-17
06-21
07-03
07-06
07-10
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.1 / M3.4 / H18.5