ShyGuy1

@ShyGuy1

#3,30658

0x1f66796b45581868376365aef54b51eb84184c8d

~167d· 2158 markets · 39237 tradesVol: $7,679,081 @Mask4che2026-08-04 20:45:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (588/2123)0/20
1.25x (win $198,365 / loss $159,200)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.07115/15
Sortino 4.49310/10
$+0.0849 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 38 (2123 markets)10/10
70/155 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($11,283 / $44,273)8.9/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+54,580
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
Whale
$461,177 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#8$72,988Vol: $6,403,110
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,278$-7,020Vol: $773,645
📈 ECONOMICS#681,773$-3,420Vol: $207,918
🎭 CULTURE#810,872$-1,015Vol: $99,220
SPORTS#1,869,542$-4,172Vol: $92,132
💰 FINANCE#655,322$-1,436Vol: $84,735
💻 TECH#257,145$-824Vol: $7,418
📢 MENTIONS#171,333$-302Vol: $5,298
CRYPTO#289,142$5Vol: $804

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$54,580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,679,081
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2158
total markets
Trades
25512B / 13725S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~167d

Periods

#2
Today
$75
Vol: $13,256
Week
$-1,017
Vol: $61,441
Month
$-1,996
Vol: $85,903
All Time
$54,580
Vol: $7,679,081

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
588W / 1535L events
Realized PnL
$54,580
Win Rate
28%
588W / 1535L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$337
Avg Loss
$-104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,247 (0.4259198932936605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$8,800
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$7,297
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$7,149
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$6,121
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?$5,949
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$5,050
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?$4,680
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?$4,333
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$3,753
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?$3,388

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-5,038
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-4,560
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?$-3,639
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?$-3,395
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?$-2,613
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?$-2,375
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?$-2,234
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-2,137
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-2,013
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?$-1,996

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.221
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
79.8
Very active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.2m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 5.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock80 trades/day — mass trading4.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.4%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)9.1%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 8:27:35 PM90 trades$16,72027 min
6/6/2026, 12:41:21 AM49 trades$14,9869 min
7/21/2026, 6:28:24 PM10 trades$10,9820 min
3/26/2026, 3:18:11 PM183 trades$10,89291 min
5/29/2026, 4:25:33 AM8 trades$10,2730 min
7/8/2026, 4:39:11 PM12 trades$9,2300 min
7/29/2026, 2:19:18 AM22 trades$8,6460 min
4/3/2026, 6:06:17 AM20 trades$8,5582 min
6/12/2026, 2:30:43 PM7 trades$7,7926 min
6/9/2026, 4:59:37 AM66 trades$6,55813 min
4/25/2026, 5:33:26 AM3 trades$6,5483 min
6/10/2026, 11:52:48 AM11 trades$6,5091 min
7/15/2026, 12:58:10 AM2 trades$6,4640 min
7/27/2026, 1:26:42 AM16 trades$6,3171 min
2/28/2026, 1:12:41 PM1 trades$5,4460 min
6/9/2026, 7:10:45 PM105 trades$5,4002 min
7/20/2026, 7:55:52 AM34 trades$5,2977 min
3/14/2026, 2:39:39 AM73 trades$5,26560 min
6/21/2026, 6:30:37 AM144 trades$5,15938 min
6/8/2026, 8:30:43 PM105 trades$5,09620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
02-03
02-28
03-25
05-12
06-27
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.4 / M15.5 / H9.1