@ChadStarmer
#18,909890x1f9f03e7ce52979b658b0bb75b483ff923fda025
~55d· 73 markets · 1275 tradesVol: $375,5892026-08-04 23:36:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (37/65)13.5/20
2.29x (win $51,888 / loss $22,647)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.91115/15
Sortino 12.42310/10
$+0.2799 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 686 (65 markets)9.1/10
19/32 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($9,837 / $39,078)9/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+7,266
DCA Master
Avg 20.4 entries/market
Whale
$104,459 invested
High Roller
$1,290/day
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#7,475$3,923Vol: $164,633
₿ CRYPTO#48,264$389Vol: $59,101
⚽ SPORTS#1,823,239$-918Vol: $57,407
💰 FINANCE#7,701$431Vol: $32,723
📈 ECONOMICS#4,748$493Vol: $26,375
💻 TECH#589$3,010Vol: $25,021
🎭 CULTURE#785,851$-120Vol: $9,708
📢 MENTIONS#7,398$72Vol: $547
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$375,589
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
691B / 584S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$430
Vol: $0
Week
$489
Vol: $13,176
Month
$641
Vol: $13,176
All Time
$7,266
Vol: $375,589
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
37W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$7,266
Win Rate
58%
37W / 27L
Profit Factor
2.29x
Avg Win
$1,402
Avg Loss
$-871
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,417 (5.149691912372915% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$20,864
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11,934
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$4,618
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$4,267
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$2,570
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,745
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?$985
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$793
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$622
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$606
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-6,902
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-4,895
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-3,029
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-1,976
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$-721
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-662
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-658
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$-630
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$-461
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?$-391
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.202
Sortino
0.471
HHI
943
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.277
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.4%
Top-5 markets
56.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 492s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)64%
Sessions
#127/22/2026, 6:02:13 PM2 trades$10,7480 min
7/8/2026, 8:00:22 AM5 trades$7,9990 min
6/19/2026, 9:05:25 AM2 trades$6,9240 min
7/22/2026, 6:09:39 PM2 trades$5,9690 min
5/14/2026, 6:34:07 AM17 trades$5,3874 min
8/2/2026, 6:42:53 PM3 trades$5,1710 min
7/30/2026, 1:06:09 PM7 trades$5,0010 min
6/17/2026, 8:10:19 AM4 trades$4,7040 min
7/3/2026, 9:36:49 AM8 trades$4,5200 min
7/6/2026, 1:30:58 PM9 trades$3,6750 min
7/8/2026, 10:05:50 AM8 trades$3,2260 min
5/21/2026, 2:35:06 PM9 trades$3,2203 min
5/18/2026, 2:00:09 PM2 trades$3,1020 min
6/16/2026, 1:38:07 PM14 trades$2,7890 min
6/23/2026, 4:43:28 PM20 trades$2,7760 min
5/21/2026, 2:29:53 PM4 trades$2,6350 min
5/14/2026, 12:06:55 PM7 trades$2,59113 min
7/22/2026, 2:13:37 PM2 trades$2,5510 min
5/19/2026, 9:10:44 AM16 trades$2,4720 min
6/15/2026, 2:08:52 PM3 trades$2,3543 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-29
06-06
06-15
06-23
07-07
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M21.6 / H64