@grinderwald
#4,609650x209b7ae1ca186e3e05c5d2dd2f504e6936e95706
~62d· 170 markets · 4407 tradesVol: $2,968,9292026-08-05 00:10:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (78/170)7.9/20
1.28x (win $465,029 / loss $364,521)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.95915/15
Sortino 3.74910/10
$+0.1398 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 200 (170 markets)10/10
32/61 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($58,826 / $109,073)3.2/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+37,268
Contrarian
80% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 26.4 entries/market
Whale
$719,135 invested
High Roller
$3,866/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,727$37,268Vol: $2,968,929
Overview
#1Net PnL
$37,268
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,968,929
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
170
total markets
Trades
4290B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
78W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$37,268
Win Rate
46%
78W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$5,962
Avg Loss
$-3,962
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $158,328 (4.248312977801795% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$98,845
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$31,273
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$28,210
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$23,538
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$16,585
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$15,620
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$15,155
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$14,891
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10,332
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$8,682
Top Losers
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$-39,839
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-18,030
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$-17,718
Pistons vs. Raptors$-17,130
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-16,981
Spurs vs. Warriors$-16,448
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$-11,522
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$-10,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-9,584
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks$-8,028
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.171
HHI
174
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
17.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.5
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 5.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
26.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)74.5%
High (>55c)20.2%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 9:02:02 PM11 trades$59,6500 min
6/18/2026, 4:08:58 PM2 trades$33,8510 min
6/18/2026, 8:00:11 PM27 trades$27,8440 min
7/9/2026, 1:17:17 PM165 trades$27,00022 min
6/23/2026, 1:16:46 AM134 trades$22,95025 min
6/28/2026, 2:06:31 AM61 trades$21,6562 min
6/29/2026, 2:02:29 PM394 trades$18,03016 min
6/17/2026, 4:06:52 AM21 trades$17,8260 min
2/11/2026, 10:04:41 PM96 trades$17,13021 min
2/28/2026, 1:31:25 AM12 trades$16,0592 min
7/6/2026, 6:34:37 PM1 trades$15,6920 min
7/5/2026, 3:27:37 PM207 trades$12,80712 min
2/10/2026, 9:38:17 AM1 trades$12,5120 min
6/26/2026, 8:58:43 PM134 trades$12,1288 min
6/26/2026, 1:46:25 AM5 trades$11,3210 min
6/24/2026, 9:56:37 PM21 trades$11,09726 min
6/18/2026, 4:01:35 PM9 trades$11,0002 min
7/1/2026, 7:42:25 PM1 trades$9,8040 min
2/12/2026, 3:11:31 AM154 trades$9,6485 min
2/1/2026, 7:07:46 PM2 trades$9,6392 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-21
02-01
02-22
03-25
06-24
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L5.3 / M74.5 / H20.2