@Nowayfolding
#2,911,006280x20b382be32a82d308fb9238f3c2a01756385d24c
~52d· 164 markets · 1367 tradesVol: $76,3212026-08-05 17:25:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (82/137)14.9/20
0.38x (win $6,374 / loss $16,938)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4790/15
Sortino -3.5420/10
$-0.3574 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 623 (137 markets)9.4/10
19/42 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($12,138 / $0)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 12.2 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#15,726$1,234Vol: $41,355
💰 FINANCE#645,282$-266Vol: $13,000
⚽ SPORTS#1,657,738$-86Vol: $12,580
₿ CRYPTO#1,612,766$-845Vol: $3,834
🎭 CULTURE#811,763$-856Vol: $3,220
📈 ECONOMICS#19,538$44Vol: $1,150
💻 TECH#247,371$-74Vol: $730
📢 MENTIONS#131,092$-10Vol: $428
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-859
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,321
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
164
total markets
Trades
946B / 421S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $50
Week
$1,275
Vol: $576
Month
$1,595
Vol: $1,376
All Time
$-859
Vol: $76,321
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
82W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-859
Win Rate
60%
82W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-346
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,552 (4.134688365812205% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,859
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$1,416
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$276
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$211
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$199
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$191
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$150
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$149
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$145
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$137
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,192
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-2,337
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,993
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-1,901
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?$-883
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-611
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-582
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-506
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-436
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$-396
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
1080
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.260
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.5%
Top-5 markets
59.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
20.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 570s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.2
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)68.2%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 7:28:44 PM2 trades$3,4130 min
6/14/2026, 11:41:00 PM22 trades$2,1206 min
7/30/2026, 10:07:32 AM6 trades$1,9670 min
6/14/2026, 9:09:42 AM36 trades$1,77212 min
6/9/2026, 9:28:43 AM6 trades$1,1081 min
6/25/2026, 7:48:11 PM2 trades$1,0820 min
6/14/2026, 11:26:43 PM11 trades$1,0725 min
5/31/2026, 3:44:18 PM3 trades$7560 min
6/14/2026, 8:05:33 AM1 trades$6210 min
6/1/2026, 12:55:09 PM11 trades$61314 min
6/26/2026, 8:33:26 PM8 trades$6020 min
6/19/2026, 7:48:50 PM8 trades$4544 min
6/8/2026, 11:09:27 AM6 trades$3910 min
6/18/2026, 4:30:38 PM8 trades$3902 min
7/19/2026, 12:08:54 PM8 trades$3825 min
6/30/2026, 8:54:37 PM11 trades$3689 min
6/1/2026, 12:48:07 PM4 trades$3662 min
6/19/2026, 9:11:56 AM7 trades$3581 min
6/26/2026, 9:48:44 AM2 trades$3543 min
6/22/2026, 5:02:04 PM13 trades$34811 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-10
06-18
06-26
07-03
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M17.8 / H68.2