@Ottelien

#2,126,8420

0x20b4a583a81808a9a06621e3c1767efa53f109f0

~12d· 22 markets · 122 tradesVol: $642,1452026-08-04 18:56:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (1/16)0/20
0.05x (win $2 / loss $33)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0883 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6892 (16 markets)0/10
0/5 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($31 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#702,422$-13Vol: $623,188
⚽ SPORTS#1,185,275$-4Vol: $40
₿ CRYPTO#1,064,771$-6Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$642,145
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
58B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
1W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
6%
1W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.07592190889370933% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5$2

Top Losers

Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$-13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-3
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.709
Sortino
-0.658
HHI
6293
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
79%
Top-5 markets
90.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)32.8%

Sessions

#12
10/21/2025, 3:34:15 PM16 trades$53910 min
10/14/2025, 2:26:07 PM17 trades$398 min
8/3/2026, 5:36:35 AM14 trades$264 min
7/11/2026, 8:25:20 AM33 trades$2217 min
10/21/2025, 4:55:43 PM1 trades$100 min
10/20/2025, 2:39:27 PM6 trades$62 min
7/11/2026, 3:13:38 PM2 trades$50 min
10/26/2025, 5:26:01 PM1 trades$50 min
10/14/2025, 2:41:39 PM4 trades$41 min
10/22/2025, 3:17:13 PM1 trades$40 min
7/27/2026, 2:07:24 PM6 trades$33 min
10/26/2025, 7:49:01 PM1 trades$30 min
10/24/2025, 11:38:19 PM1 trades$20 min
10/27/2025, 3:13:37 PM1 trades$20 min
10/15/2025, 10:32:43 AM1 trades$10 min
10/21/2025, 6:04:27 PM1 trades$10 min
10/24/2025, 12:08:59 PM1 trades$10 min
10/24/2025, 12:37:27 PM1 trades$10 min
10/24/2025, 1:06:37 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 9:19:31 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
10-20
10-21
10-27
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.8 / M3.4 / H32.8