@0x20ce…0716

#2,843,1689

0x20ce3ac9b81953224083c6951e02299b03c00716

~55d· 152 markets · 1951 tradesVol: $69,5932026-08-04 18:16:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (33/135)0/20
0.17x (win $366 / loss $2,162)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.5000/15
Sortino -8.5460/10
$-0.4208 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 771 (135 markets)8.6/10
9/42 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 64253% of peak ($1,799 / $3)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,153$-391Vol: $62,341
📈 ECONOMICS#650,632$-57Vol: $4,294
💰 FINANCE#581,267$-13Vol: $1,094
💻 TECH#223,755$-8Vol: $677
🌤️ WEATHER#223,384$-4Vol: $354
🎭 CULTURE#467,427$-0Vol: $352
⚽ SPORTS#1,296,910$-8Vol: $252
₿ CRYPTO#390,993$1Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,593
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
692B / 1259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $210
Month
$-4
Vol: $210
All Time
$-482
Vol: $69,593

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
33W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-482
Win Rate
24%
33W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $193 (0.4005769071138042% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$101
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$30
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$29
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$25
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$14

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-381
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-242
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-129
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$-125
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-109
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$-76
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-75
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$-71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-70
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$-64

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.491
Sortino
-0.459
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.416
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
34.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 971s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)49%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 3:27:13 AM28 trades$5381 min
6/25/2026, 8:20:10 PM29 trades$4529 min
6/22/2026, 12:53:08 AM13 trades$3800 min
6/23/2026, 8:08:10 PM10 trades$3650 min
6/25/2026, 10:56:08 PM11 trades$3353 min
7/19/2026, 3:04:13 PM8 trades$3240 min
6/2/2026, 11:04:14 AM60 trades$3186 min
6/21/2026, 11:19:08 PM12 trades$3070 min
6/20/2026, 3:57:05 PM11 trades$3020 min
6/24/2026, 1:14:10 AM6 trades$2810 min
6/22/2026, 2:40:10 PM12 trades$2730 min
6/21/2026, 7:54:16 PM13 trades$2670 min
6/22/2026, 3:26:50 PM9 trades$2670 min
6/20/2026, 7:48:10 PM19 trades$2551 min
6/23/2026, 9:18:22 PM4 trades$2500 min
6/23/2026, 8:38:10 PM8 trades$2460 min
6/21/2026, 3:02:08 PM17 trades$2410 min
6/25/2026, 10:50:08 PM15 trades$2370 min
6/21/2026, 1:07:08 PM8 trades$2340 min
6/21/2026, 3:24:07 PM12 trades$2120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
03-24
05-27
06-19
06-26
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 136 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.9 / M11.1 / H49