Dearblue

@Dearblue

#90,41511

0x20d1719642a2ede7a1f64c488c62ebb109fcfe63

~41d· 111 markets · 573 tradesVol: $159,107 @NicholeHer284652026-08-05 00:39:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (18/104)0/20
0.79x (win $5,451 / loss $6,942)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0340/15
Sortino -4.3140/10
$-0.0678 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1148 (104 markets)6.8/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 3687% of peak ($1,805 / $49)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+819
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#5,629$849Vol: $130,742
📈 ECONOMICS#588,515$-8Vol: $15,961
🏛️ POLITICS#1,339,135$-15Vol: $12,272
CRYPTO#1,025,738$-5Vol: $95
💰 FINANCE#488,289$-2Vol: $19
📢 MENTIONS#71,081$-0Vol: $11
SPORTS#953,743$-1Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$819
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$159,107
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
438B / 135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$819
Vol: $159,107

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
18W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$819
Win Rate
17%
18W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$303
Avg Loss
$-82

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,343 (5.303607189957504% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$3,265
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$587
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$491
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$191
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$175
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$118
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$117
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$106
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$86
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$76

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$-1,501
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$-1,314
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$-1,007
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$-790
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$-315
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$-191
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$-183
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-141
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$-137
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.188
HHI
1003
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.8%
Top-5 markets
61.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
56.9m
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 3.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.43
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.1%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)12.6%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 1:18:38 AM22 trades$2,5462 min
10/23/2025, 10:43:17 AM16 trades$2,0979 min
7/4/2026, 11:57:22 PM2 trades$1,9050 min
10/13/2025, 3:17:09 AM2 trades$1,6631 min
10/13/2025, 3:27:31 AM1 trades$1,6430 min
10/5/2025, 5:20:37 AM15 trades$1,55711 min
7/3/2026, 1:30:02 PM7 trades$1,5100 min
10/8/2025, 4:37:52 PM1 trades$1,3650 min
10/8/2025, 2:26:12 PM1 trades$1,3640 min
10/8/2025, 10:50:12 AM1 trades$1,3440 min
10/8/2025, 9:00:00 AM1 trades$1,3430 min
10/16/2025, 6:39:59 AM5 trades$1,1241 min
10/16/2025, 8:18:21 AM1 trades$1,0970 min
10/24/2025, 1:14:49 AM6 trades$1,0779 min
10/23/2025, 12:19:43 PM19 trades$1,00913 min
10/18/2025, 11:00:15 AM7 trades$9973 min
10/24/2025, 12:15:43 AM12 trades$9136 min
10/18/2025, 1:45:01 PM1 trades$8990 min
5/10/2026, 2:18:09 AM7 trades$7060 min
5/10/2026, 3:51:03 PM10 trades$6360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
10-24
11-10
12-05
03-10
05-11
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 207 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.1 / M35.4 / H12.6