@0x2128AB…0408

#2,768,31815

0x2128ab2438b1f42e51f7dcecfa9e5ec2ce1f6306

~14d· 56 markets · 364 tradesVol: $7,7692026-08-04 18:13:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (24/54)7.2/20
0.43x (win $507 / loss $1,167)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0760/15
Sortino -5.9080/10
$-0.2709 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2128 (54 markets)1.9/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($823 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,515,394$-97Vol: $3,684
CRYPTO#1,519,594$-162Vol: $3,017
SPORTS#1,203,220$-5Vol: $583
💰 FINANCE#551,911$-6Vol: $431
📢 MENTIONS#130,869$-10Vol: $54

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-280
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,769
Total Redeem
$173
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
136B / 228S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-280
Vol: $7,769

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
24W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-280
Win Rate
44%
24W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $225 (0.8040301547036337% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$101
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$64
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?$60
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Nothing Ever Happens: July$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$16

Top Losers

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-599
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$-129
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$-30
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.303
Sortino
-0.225
HHI
2366
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.258
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.4%
Top-5 markets
70.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.7m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 2:04:18 PM7 trades$6142 min
5/22/2026, 1:15:14 AM11 trades$5545 min
5/22/2026, 2:34:46 AM6 trades$3431 min
4/27/2026, 3:10:58 AM11 trades$3145 min
5/24/2026, 1:44:07 PM3 trades$3120 min
5/22/2026, 1:42:12 AM11 trades$2874 min
6/1/2026, 10:25:12 AM4 trades$2104 min
4/24/2026, 11:12:48 AM6 trades$1950 min
5/22/2026, 1:56:37 AM8 trades$1790 min
4/24/2026, 11:32:08 AM17 trades$17314 min
5/14/2026, 12:04:43 AM7 trades$1661 min
4/24/2026, 10:43:54 AM20 trades$15111 min
5/22/2026, 2:28:58 AM3 trades$1490 min
4/24/2026, 11:18:00 AM20 trades$1499 min
6/1/2026, 10:08:52 AM2 trades$1310 min
5/3/2026, 2:11:28 PM31 trades$12920 min
5/13/2026, 10:47:41 AM4 trades$1111 min
5/1/2026, 12:40:52 PM32 trades$10816 min
4/27/2026, 7:43:40 AM13 trades$954 min
4/27/2026, 7:32:38 AM12 trades$946 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-27
05-01
05-03
05-13
05-14
05-20
05-22
06-01
07-14
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M35.3 / H50