@0x213102…2442

#2,519,35021

0x8d2e9e2cdb887bb5ee394b5c1043cfe8bf99d47e

~16d· 87 markets · 368 tradesVol: $6,0952026-08-05 04:01:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (10/21)8.8/20
0.69x (win $163 / loss $236)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2230/15
Sortino -5.0010/10
$-0.0305 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 603 (21 markets)9.5/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 2129% of peak ($107 / $5)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#306,477$1Vol: $1,866
💰 FINANCE#635,057$-113Vol: $964
⚽ SPORTS#171,551$46Vol: $730
🎭 CULTURE#55,907$15Vol: $618
₿ CRYPTO#1,318,707$-29Vol: $504
📈 ECONOMICS#576,944$-6Vol: $493
💻 TECH#33,425$2Vol: $457
📢 MENTIONS#133,980$-12Vol: $372

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-92
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,095
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
203B / 165S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $6
Week
$-58
Vol: $2,719
Month
$-81
Vol: $3,182
All Time
$-92
Vol: $6,095

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
10W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-92
Win Rate
48%
10W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $88 (0.9568368671570747% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$37
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$24
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$16
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$9
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3

Top Losers

Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$-35
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-30
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$-29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$-27
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$-24
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?$-10
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.212
Sortino
-0.379
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.141
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1521s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active3.6 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)38.4%
High (>55c)60.6%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 11:40:33 AM11 trades$2473 min
8/2/2026, 11:20:56 AM16 trades$2221 min
8/2/2026, 11:55:41 AM6 trades$1994 min
8/1/2026, 4:32:29 AM7 trades$1630 min
8/2/2026, 6:48:05 PM3 trades$1150 min
7/28/2026, 9:47:11 PM4 trades$940 min
8/2/2026, 9:25:24 PM5 trades$913 min
7/13/2026, 5:23:52 PM32 trades$912 min
8/3/2026, 3:45:56 PM4 trades$821 min
8/1/2026, 7:32:09 AM5 trades$814 min
7/28/2026, 6:16:45 AM2 trades$780 min
8/2/2026, 3:18:08 PM2 trades$760 min
8/3/2026, 3:08:59 PM2 trades$700 min
8/4/2026, 12:57:00 AM3 trades$660 min
7/31/2026, 6:44:00 AM6 trades$560 min
8/4/2026, 7:44:06 PM7 trades$550 min
7/13/2026, 6:49:52 PM3 trades$547 min
7/14/2026, 10:36:38 PM1 trades$520 min
7/29/2026, 8:29:50 PM3 trades$480 min
8/2/2026, 12:32:15 PM5 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-29 00:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-01 04:00:00
2026-08-20 00:00:00
2026-09-01 03:59:59
2026-12-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M38.4 / H60.6