@erik50

#28,17377

0x213cb92336a31ec1a584c37e10e71995969192ee

~201d· 316 markets · 757 tradesVol: $338,9572026-08-04 19:59:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (230/299)20/20
1.39x (win $12,897 / loss $9,280)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.77315/15
Sortino 2.17610/10
$+0.0160 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 211 (299 markets)10/10
112/150 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($2,794 / $5,432)3.7/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+4,405
Whale
$226,308 invested
Consistent
112/150 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#9,473$2,749Vol: $254,451
📈 ECONOMICS#3,177$962Vol: $26,614
🎭 CULTURE#617,015$-3Vol: $20,594
⚽ SPORTS#43,753$790Vol: $13,676
💰 FINANCE#644,757$-260Vol: $6,503
₿ CRYPTO#61,794$222Vol: $6,486
💻 TECH#5,537$115Vol: $4,763
📢 MENTIONS#9,577$45Vol: $2,696
🌤️ WEATHER#279,761$-65Vol: $2,324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,405
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$338,957
Total Redeem
$2,567
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
316
total markets
Trades
604B / 153S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~201d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$30
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,405
Vol: $338,957

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
230W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$4,405
Win Rate
77%
230W / 69L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-136

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,577 (0.3578931119570868% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$668
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$570
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$339
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$316
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$305
Will Biden resign before the election?$305
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$283
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$281
Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?$279
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$279

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,600
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-1,271
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$-842
Israel military action against Iran before July?$-515
US military action against Iran before July?$-437
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-432
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?$-427
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-340
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$-327
Buccaneers vs. Broncos$-225

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.092
Sortino
0.064
HHI
189
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
24%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.28
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)86.8%

Sessions

#12
10/20/2024, 2:55:50 PM8 trades$23,37611 min
11/12/2024, 10:18:59 PM1 trades$12,8460 min
9/4/2024, 4:25:48 PM4 trades$10,5483 min
8/27/2024, 12:08:58 AM1 trades$10,4890 min
11/11/2024, 1:27:48 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
8/27/2024, 1:25:54 PM2 trades$9,0005 min
8/25/2024, 11:50:10 PM2 trades$8,1250 min
9/1/2024, 3:28:43 PM4 trades$6,7448 min
8/25/2024, 2:50:59 PM2 trades$6,2350 min
8/21/2024, 8:56:13 PM2 trades$6,0422 min
9/20/2024, 11:57:59 AM1 trades$6,0000 min
9/22/2024, 11:02:55 AM2 trades$5,9642 min
1/1/2026, 1:02:47 PM10 trades$5,15016 min
12/26/2024, 12:28:48 PM5 trades$4,8027 min
9/22/2024, 12:08:09 AM1 trades$4,2920 min
11/2/2025, 1:00:25 PM5 trades$4,06811 min
1/23/2025, 4:18:47 AM7 trades$4,0009 min
1/3/2026, 12:12:31 PM2 trades$3,6023 min
8/23/2024, 11:12:57 AM1 trades$3,1140 min
2/14/2026, 8:06:01 PM3 trades$3,0582 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-26
10-16
12-26
07-13
11-08
02-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 67 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M11.8 / H86.8