@climateprofessor

#122,73810

0x21413203b0be620ebc9dc236a152413923287fa2

~35d· 76 markets · 923 tradesVol: $123,1452026-08-05 13:58:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (5/57)0/20
0.73x (win $1,429 / loss $1,955)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7950/15
Sortino -2.5820/10
$-0.0854 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 515 (57 markets)9.9/10
3/24 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,487 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+434
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#4,929$192Vol: $105,001
⚽ SPORTS#102,665$143Vol: $9,698
🏛️ POLITICS#196,641$7Vol: $4,712
💰 FINANCE#11,640$220Vol: $2,072
💻 TECH#252,201$-157Vol: $1,124

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$440
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,145
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
670B / 253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $536
Week
$39
Vol: $3,942
Month
$-37
Vol: $6,061
All Time
$440
Vol: $123,145

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
5W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$434
Win Rate
9%
5W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$286
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,331 (3.0650316637881403% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$726
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$345
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$261
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?$45

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$-343
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$-218
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-155
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?$-145
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?$-141
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?$-79
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-62
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?$-57
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
374
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.124
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
38.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 309s — normal for humanCV 3.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)16.9%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 12:14:02 PM40 trades$8791 min
7/28/2026, 2:45:11 PM5 trades$7499 min
6/28/2026, 9:35:47 AM6 trades$5173 min
7/15/2026, 1:51:32 PM7 trades$4010 min
7/7/2026, 4:02:52 AM3 trades$3992 min
7/7/2026, 2:43:08 AM1 trades$3510 min
7/5/2026, 3:13:28 PM5 trades$2900 min
7/15/2026, 1:59:34 PM6 trades$2871 min
6/29/2026, 3:49:52 PM23 trades$2805 min
7/13/2026, 2:44:10 PM6 trades$2054 min
7/24/2026, 4:17:18 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/25/2026, 8:13:31 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/18/2026, 9:32:58 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/8/2026, 11:11:59 PM6 trades$1951 min
7/23/2026, 1:57:22 AM10 trades$1924 min
7/9/2026, 12:32:26 AM41 trades$17012 min
7/7/2026, 4:32:14 AM18 trades$1658 min
8/1/2026, 1:06:18 PM1 trades$1430 min
7/14/2026, 6:24:14 AM7 trades$1352 min
6/29/2026, 12:04:26 PM8 trades$1332 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
07-05
07-09
07-14
07-21
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
70% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.1 / M15.1 / H16.9