@BhrogyHome

#151,55944

0x21589728573b61b4d5d235f844267835a97fcf43

~59d· 218 markets · 759 tradesVol: $48,6592026-08-05 17:28:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (64/188)2/20
1.21x (win $1,611 / loss $1,328)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.21015/15
Sortino 2.81010/10
$+0.0486 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 842 (188 markets)8.3/10
14/43 profitable days (33%)0.6/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($669 / $952)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+276
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#37,503$277Vol: $42,661
⚽ SPORTS#1,347,681$-10Vol: $2,500
₿ CRYPTO#146,825$35Vol: $1,730
📈 ECONOMICS#38,786$12Vol: $560
💰 FINANCE#557,646$-7Vol: $477
📢 MENTIONS#151,602$-34Vol: $378
🌤️ WEATHER#31,771$5Vol: $201
🎭 CULTURE#589,581$-2Vol: $152

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$276
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,659
Total Redeem
$169
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
421B / 338S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$276
Vol: $48,659

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
64W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$276
Win Rate
34%
64W / 124L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $869 (3.1485428447150934% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by April 30?$479
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$231
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$159
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$111
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$53
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$42
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$38
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$38

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-213
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$-80
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?$-41
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$-40
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.145
HHI
587
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
16.9%
Half-Kelly
8.5%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
45.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 3.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)27.3%

Sessions

#12
4/22/2026, 4:15:36 PM34 trades$1,42110 min
4/19/2026, 11:57:16 PM25 trades$1,2616 min
5/25/2026, 9:53:26 PM4 trades$1,1850 min
5/25/2026, 9:43:10 PM4 trades$1,1542 min
5/10/2026, 12:52:03 PM16 trades$1,0316 min
4/22/2026, 5:25:42 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/27/2026, 5:57:14 PM26 trades$8006 min
4/26/2026, 10:50:18 PM18 trades$6455 min
4/17/2026, 7:23:20 PM11 trades$4775 min
4/3/2026, 10:09:51 PM18 trades$37011 min
4/27/2026, 9:42:30 PM20 trades$3635 min
3/17/2026, 11:06:01 AM2 trades$3404 min
4/27/2026, 6:39:04 PM9 trades$2866 min
4/12/2026, 11:00:55 PM2 trades$2780 min
4/8/2026, 4:09:25 PM2 trades$2710 min
4/15/2026, 12:03:12 PM14 trades$2690 min
5/2/2026, 12:35:16 PM20 trades$2574 min
4/19/2026, 10:15:30 PM16 trades$2535 min
4/23/2026, 12:48:28 AM6 trades$2471 min
4/14/2026, 2:12:23 PM8 trades$2262 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-17
04-03
04-17
04-26
05-23
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M32.1 / H27.3