@democracy

#2,811,60536

0x216c4c3b095c7b02d19f631e25d4fb5c26655a7f

~220d· 943 markets · 2017 tradesVol: $22,655 @LFZ102026-08-04 19:09:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (653/940)19.7/20
0.77x (win $1,175 / loss $1,530)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3030/15
Sortino -2.6310/10
$-0.0510 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (940 markets)10/10
118/213 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 904% of peak ($516 / $57)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,565,127$-41Vol: $8,869
🎭 CULTURE#775,847$-84Vol: $5,410
🌤️ WEATHER#273,323$-41Vol: $1,184
🏛️ POLITICS#1,407,319$-27Vol: $1,129
📈 ECONOMICS#123,582$1Vol: $53
₿ CRYPTO#916,855$-2Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-373
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,655
Total Redeem
$805
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
943
total markets
Trades
1230B / 787S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~220d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $44
Week
$5
Vol: $159
Month
$4
Vol: $216
All Time
$-373
Vol: $22,655

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
653W / 287L events
Realized PnL
$-373
Win Rate
69%
653W / 287L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115 (0.30883377082552105% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$51
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$25
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?$24
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$22
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$17
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$17

Top Losers

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-72
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$-49
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 5)$-47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-33
Spurs vs. Knicks$-31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$-30
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachko$-29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.120
Sortino
-0.110
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2486s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal3.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)72.5%

Sessions

#12
11/9/2025, 8:53:13 AM6 trades$17214 min
11/9/2025, 10:38:51 AM2 trades$1432 min
11/5/2025, 12:24:21 AM2 trades$1391 min
11/4/2025, 10:54:27 PM2 trades$1253 min
11/9/2025, 2:08:05 AM2 trades$941 min
11/5/2025, 3:13:15 AM1 trades$820 min
11/6/2025, 2:43:41 AM2 trades$743 min
4/8/2026, 12:41:15 AM6 trades$682 min
11/8/2025, 3:53:23 PM1 trades$640 min
3/8/2026, 9:15:57 PM11 trades$565 min
11/8/2025, 2:23:31 PM1 trades$550 min
11/4/2025, 3:56:49 PM1 trades$510 min
11/9/2025, 7:27:57 AM1 trades$500 min
11/9/2025, 12:40:13 AM1 trades$480 min
4/10/2026, 2:17:21 AM2 trades$480 min
11/8/2025, 3:05:39 AM2 trades$473 min
11/8/2025, 11:39:59 AM1 trades$470 min
11/8/2025, 9:58:57 AM1 trades$470 min
11/9/2025, 1:16:49 AM1 trades$470 min
11/8/2025, 2:10:51 PM1 trades$460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
01-05
02-09
03-18
04-30
06-15
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 258 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M23.6 / H72.5