@esoddx

#2,720,12422

0x2191bfdf0a13843ab2c90d6a893b7ba49011b854

~194d· 497 markets · 1300 tradesVol: $36,3432026-08-04 16:21:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (196/468)5.9/20
0.38x (win $91 / loss $238)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3640/15
Sortino -1.3700/10
$-0.0063 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 192 (468 markets)10/10
92/168 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 2390% of peak ($222 / $9)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,544,797$-226Vol: $35,080
🏛️ POLITICS#140,305$17Vol: $774
SPORTS#1,054,485$-2Vol: $231
💰 FINANCE#217,305$0Vol: $106
🎭 CULTURE#255,384$0Vol: $58
💻 TECH#161,075$-0Vol: $27
📈 ECONOMICS#290,335$-0Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,343
Total Redeem
$90
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
497
total markets
Trades
658B / 642S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~194d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $166
Week
$-0
Vol: $166
Month
$-0
Vol: $261
All Time
$-211
Vol: $36,343

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
196W / 272L events
Realized PnL
$-211
Win Rate
42%
196W / 272L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.11839674041787085% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?$10
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?$8
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$7
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$6
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$3
Will Solana reach $130 in July?$3
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$3
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?$3
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$-148
Ethereum all time high before 2026?$-57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-5
Will Solana reach $160 in April?$-4
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?$-3
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$-2
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$-1
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
21.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 7:39:37 AM6 trades$2,3443 min
4/9/2026, 12:49:07 PM31 trades$2,22510 min
4/3/2026, 1:14:45 PM26 trades$1,7867 min
4/5/2026, 6:46:09 AM4 trades$1,7341 min
4/8/2026, 8:07:59 AM7 trades$1,7342 min
4/11/2026, 6:35:53 AM9 trades$1,6431 min
4/14/2026, 1:28:53 PM10 trades$1,1823 min
11/22/2025, 7:45:45 AM2 trades$1,1601 min
2/4/2025, 3:48:40 AM3 trades$6972 min
5/6/2025, 2:57:07 AM5 trades$6004 min
12/6/2025, 1:10:45 AM1 trades$5800 min
11/20/2025, 3:32:01 PM1 trades$5800 min
11/27/2025, 8:44:01 PM1 trades$5800 min
12/3/2025, 7:24:05 PM1 trades$5800 min
4/2/2026, 11:05:03 AM2 trades$5800 min
11/27/2025, 8:35:49 PM1 trades$5790 min
5/12/2025, 12:31:32 PM4 trades$5006 min
4/15/2026, 2:36:32 PM17 trades$4042 min
4/18/2026, 10:43:24 AM6 trades$3984 min
5/7/2026, 11:04:55 AM6 trades$3972 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
05-06
09-05
02-22
04-24
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 466 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M0.3 / H95.7