@stragsdfasegbaes

#2,491,60347

0x21bcd9744b7916bff56037afac12201dc2e34681

~31d· 35 markets · 358 tradesVol: $10,4332026-08-04 20:40:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (12/23)11.1/20
1.13x (win $1,380 / loss $1,225)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.61311.5/15
Sortino 1.06110/10
$+0.0318 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 1522 (23 markets)4.9/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($1,043 / $1,197)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 10.5 entries/market

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#651,359$-60Vol: $3,467
🌤️ WEATHER#33,776$4Vol: $1,944
💰 FINANCE#26,414$49Vol: $1,880
🏛️ POLITICS#104,800$36Vol: $1,270
₿ CRYPTO#1,494,116$-121Vol: $1,083
💻 TECH#13,400$19Vol: $468
🎭 CULTURE#560,765$-2Vol: $308
⚽ SPORTS#1,321,607$-9Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-83
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,433
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
131B / 227S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $251
Month
$7
Vol: $251
All Time
$-83
Vol: $10,433

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
11W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-83
Win Rate
50%
11W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$115
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,184 (14.270876009157732% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$870
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$215
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?$99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?$78
Nothing Ever Happens: May$42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$24
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$16
Will Solana reach $80 in July?$9
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?$2

Top Losers

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-706
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-421
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?$-11
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?$-9
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?$-3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.045
HHI
1131
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.2%
Top-5 markets
62.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.48
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.6%
High (>55c)80.2%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 9:54:23 AM10 trades$7561 min
7/20/2026, 9:49:01 AM7 trades$6091 min
5/15/2026, 8:43:00 AM16 trades$5347 min
6/10/2026, 1:52:34 PM5 trades$4741 min
5/12/2026, 3:37:49 PM12 trades$4622 min
6/12/2026, 12:41:19 AM6 trades$4011 min
5/4/2026, 3:44:56 PM6 trades$3991 min
6/14/2026, 11:12:24 PM9 trades$3950 min
5/12/2026, 4:22:17 PM11 trades$3284 min
7/20/2026, 7:06:25 AM23 trades$30712 min
8/3/2026, 2:21:05 AM3 trades$2510 min
7/30/2026, 7:57:17 AM6 trades$2501 min
5/15/2026, 3:09:01 PM2 trades$2400 min
7/30/2026, 10:14:45 AM8 trades$2172 min
5/12/2026, 4:00:58 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/19/2026, 1:13:01 PM21 trades$1908 min
5/12/2026, 3:30:21 PM13 trades$1871 min
6/18/2026, 11:34:46 AM4 trades$1770 min
6/19/2026, 12:41:19 PM9 trades$1632 min
5/14/2026, 2:02:31 AM3 trades$1590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
05-06
05-14
05-28
06-14
07-23
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
21.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M7.6 / H80.2