@newbiePPOOLL

#2,923,00711

0x21c0eea8a60f1e185a4c1393cc9d4df5e9f438d9

~42d· 142 markets · 897 tradesVol: $35,9152026-08-05 16:53:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (36/133)0/20
0.40x (win $996 / loss $2,489)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8490/15
Sortino -4.8820/10
$-0.2912 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 631 (133 markets)9.3/10
14/38 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 895% of peak ($1,680 / $188)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,807$-637Vol: $17,475
SPORTS#1,705,502$-129Vol: $12,075
CRYPTO#1,558,490$-271Vol: $3,776
💰 FINANCE#23,675$61Vol: $1,093
💻 TECH#224,540$-9Vol: $655
🎭 CULTURE#719,615$-18Vol: $479
📈 ECONOMICS#22,682$32Vol: $363

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-971
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,915
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
377B / 520S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-971
Vol: $35,915

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
35W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$-971
Win Rate
26%
35W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $394 (0.40597322348094744% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$163
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$155
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$76
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$58
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$57
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$43
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$35
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$34

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-603
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-360
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-231
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-211
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-163
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-99
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-88
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-80
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-63
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.250
Sortino
-0.220
HHI
644
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.197
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
41%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
47s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)49.3%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 2:27:56 AM14 trades$1,5911 min
6/12/2026, 6:14:04 PM6 trades$1,0023 min
6/7/2026, 10:56:24 PM4 trades$7003 min
6/9/2026, 3:32:28 AM3 trades$5490 min
5/25/2026, 3:03:01 AM5 trades$5180 min
6/19/2026, 11:44:08 PM46 trades$46810 min
7/6/2026, 5:52:34 AM12 trades$4505 min
7/22/2026, 4:24:46 PM8 trades$4494 min
6/21/2026, 5:33:13 PM36 trades$38515 min
7/15/2026, 2:21:52 PM21 trades$3527 min
6/17/2026, 11:07:10 AM29 trades$33611 min
6/9/2026, 2:05:42 PM14 trades$32818 min
7/8/2026, 7:32:28 AM12 trades$2896 min
6/21/2026, 2:24:25 PM25 trades$2878 min
6/14/2026, 1:59:12 PM2 trades$2360 min
6/5/2026, 7:03:55 AM8 trades$2152 min
6/28/2026, 7:04:10 AM18 trades$20910 min
6/26/2026, 5:19:10 AM27 trades$2077 min
6/25/2026, 1:21:02 AM12 trades$2074 min
6/19/2026, 1:19:20 AM21 trades$20210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-06
06-14
06-22
06-29
07-07
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.6 / M22 / H49.3