bigshort

@bigshort

#8,78487

0x21d5d6326f480863e1d00c5d52bba19d9cec9925

~477d· 463 markets · 6321 tradesVol: $1,093,192 @xingzhn806409832026-08-05 16:38:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (368/445)20/20
1.69x (win $33,848 / loss $20,005)11.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.06015/15
Sortino 3.01210/10
$+0.0209 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 147 (445 markets)10/10
207/254 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($3,552 / $17,111)9.8/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+17,678
DCA Master
Avg 15.4 entries/market
Whale
$661,217 invested
Consistent
207/254 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,420$17,664Vol: $943,555
🎭 CULTURE#811,267$-1,047Vol: $55,147
📈 ECONOMICS#5,086$446Vol: $41,052
CRYPTO#52,714$317Vol: $22,595
💻 TECH#2,176$518Vol: $18,869
💰 FINANCE#630,921$-93Vol: $6,082
🌤️ WEATHER#259,357$-19Vol: $2,690
SPORTS#1,340,485$-10Vol: $906
📢 MENTIONS#167,275$-146Vol: $567

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,678
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,093,192
Total Redeem
$64,993
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
463
total markets
Trades
4251B / 2070S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~477d

Periods

#2
Today
$57
Vol: $245
Week
$143
Vol: $1,495
Month
$38
Vol: $4,636
All Time
$17,678
Vol: $1,093,192

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
368W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$17,678
Win Rate
83%
368W / 77L
Profit Factor
1.69x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-290

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,830 (0.3863298503004851% of PnL)

Top Winners

Xi Jinping out in 2025?$2,917
Netanyahu out by March 31?$1,960
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$1,953
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1,540
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$1,125
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$812
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$732
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$677
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$613
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$598

Top Losers

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-4,150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,345
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$-1,675
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-1,658
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$-1,464
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,295
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-968
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-788
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?$-671
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$-581

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.076
HHI
239
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
28.4%
Half-Kelly
14.2%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1070s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)91.6%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 12:09:20 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/7/2026, 3:00:29 AM13 trades$9,97513 min
1/21/2026, 10:43:38 PM1 trades$9,5330 min
4/8/2026, 1:12:05 AM6 trades$5,98011 min
2/26/2026, 7:43:56 AM2 trades$5,8330 min
3/23/2026, 3:24:33 AM3 trades$5,6863 min
4/7/2026, 1:09:51 PM1 trades$4,9850 min
4/7/2026, 2:40:03 PM1 trades$4,9800 min
4/8/2026, 2:38:41 PM1 trades$4,9800 min
1/22/2026, 3:36:40 PM1 trades$4,9500 min
4/8/2026, 8:37:01 PM3 trades$4,9310 min
4/6/2026, 7:55:27 AM2 trades$4,9310 min
3/30/2026, 10:48:59 PM4 trades$4,7592 min
3/16/2026, 4:11:45 PM4 trades$4,6340 min
3/7/2026, 5:27:09 AM3 trades$4,4810 min
4/25/2026, 3:54:58 PM8 trades$4,43610 min
3/16/2026, 10:53:11 AM3 trades$4,3720 min
3/30/2026, 9:47:07 PM1 trades$3,9600 min
5/24/2026, 1:58:22 AM4 trades$3,7940 min
3/30/2026, 4:55:14 AM6 trades$3,7911 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
02-21
04-19
11-15
03-01
05-03
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M6.1 / H91.6