@fredmff

#311,03741

0x21dbd57fe0a01a386fd022a2c742593ae46a10f1

~20d· 83 markets · 212 tradesVol: $1,3722026-08-05 16:36:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (52/74)20/20
0.88x (win $151 / loss $171)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7090/15
Sortino -0.8010/10
$-0.0210 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 176 (74 markets)10/10
12/16 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($122 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+52
Consistent
12/16 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
SPORTS#159,187$54Vol: $1,127
🏛️ POLITICS#220,963$5Vol: $158
🎭 CULTURE#117,727$2Vol: $66
📈 ECONOMICS#599,330$-10Vol: $16
CRYPTO#523,556$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$52
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,372
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
98B / 114S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$52
Vol: $1,372

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
52W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$52
Win Rate
70%
52W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $82 (1.572145061728395% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$54
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$9
Will England win on 2026-06-06?$5
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$4
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$4
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$3
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$3
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3

Top Losers

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$-20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
127
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.6m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 127s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)96.9%

Sessions

#12
5/22/2026, 10:05:47 PM28 trades$24316 min
6/24/2026, 3:16:13 PM6 trades$961 min
6/25/2026, 4:59:04 PM20 trades$9314 min
6/22/2026, 3:25:56 PM8 trades$792 min
6/26/2026, 2:42:37 PM6 trades$651 min
6/22/2026, 4:03:55 PM11 trades$525 min
7/5/2026, 12:02:04 AM3 trades$510 min
6/25/2026, 5:18:22 PM11 trades$4913 min
7/13/2026, 2:16:23 PM6 trades$480 min
6/25/2026, 6:05:25 PM10 trades$453 min
6/28/2026, 5:24:07 PM8 trades$418 min
6/25/2026, 4:44:53 PM4 trades$401 min
6/25/2026, 10:14:28 PM4 trades$401 min
6/3/2026, 7:20:33 PM7 trades$382 min
6/22/2026, 4:23:26 PM4 trades$311 min
6/10/2026, 1:10:54 AM4 trades$274 min
6/28/2026, 9:08:47 PM2 trades$240 min
6/26/2026, 6:25:38 PM6 trades$215 min
7/1/2026, 9:13:41 PM4 trades$203 min
6/10/2026, 12:47:49 AM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-22
05-30
06-10
06-24
06-26
06-28
07-01
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M3.1 / H96.9