@keepwatch-politic
#3,029,493570x2251f0b651a57f86194dc687e063b1f956b825a0
~97d· 187 markets · 3356 tradesVol: $311,3782026-08-04 18:09:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (45/98)8/20
1.27x (win $16,193 / loss $12,716)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.03115/15
Sortino 6.75910/10
$+0.0240 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 290 (98 markets)10/10
13/25 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($2,115 / $3,497)1.9/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 22.2 entries/market
Whale
$144,705 invested
High Roller
$1,340/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,286$-2,820Vol: $253,962
⚽ SPORTS#1,783,392$-396Vol: $18,025
💰 FINANCE#146,584$1Vol: $17,634
📈 ECONOMICS#666,023$-156Vol: $16,705
🎭 CULTURE#778,791$-95Vol: $5,052
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$311,378
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
187
total markets
Trades
1658B / 1698S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,466
Vol: $311,378
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
45W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-3,464
Win Rate
46%
45W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$360
Avg Loss
$-245
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,574 (1.6093064750361616% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2,652
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?$1,480
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,442
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1,238
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$1,095
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,076
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$751
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$569
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$566
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$512
Top Losers
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-3,551
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-1,716
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$-1,263
Rangers vs. Lightning$-600
Hurricanes vs. Islanders$-570
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets$-560
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-460
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-364
Penguins vs. Blues$-360
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-326
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.299
HHI
163
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
20.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
31.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.21
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)74.3%
Sessions
#125/1/2026, 6:07:12 AM17 trades$5,3993 min
6/11/2026, 4:10:07 PM66 trades$4,4316 min
5/1/2026, 2:47:04 PM18 trades$3,6980 min
5/4/2026, 7:20:32 PM4 trades$3,6260 min
5/3/2026, 6:04:34 PM11 trades$3,4720 min
5/2/2026, 4:02:28 PM31 trades$3,3861 min
7/20/2026, 9:11:01 AM38 trades$2,9795 min
5/4/2026, 8:19:02 AM24 trades$2,9520 min
5/3/2026, 4:11:28 PM7 trades$2,9120 min
5/5/2026, 6:56:46 PM30 trades$2,8291 min
4/15/2026, 3:31:16 PM8 trades$2,8203 min
5/3/2026, 3:48:42 PM17 trades$2,3598 min
4/30/2026, 8:19:26 AM24 trades$2,3361 min
5/6/2026, 9:01:30 AM5 trades$2,3353 min
5/2/2026, 8:37:32 PM12 trades$2,3110 min
5/5/2026, 1:44:38 AM29 trades$2,2853 min
5/5/2026, 2:14:28 AM13 trades$2,2640 min
4/23/2026, 5:19:54 AM7 trades$2,2621 min
5/5/2026, 1:31:40 PM33 trades$2,2286 min
4/26/2026, 12:26:12 AM19 trades$2,2021 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-18
04-22
04-26
05-01
05-05
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M15.4 / H74.3