@elgogd

#2,910,55712

0x22e235753a65920b7c9a7d7d2dc5f991a1bb42d6

~27d· 75 markets · 228 tradesVol: $96,8032026-08-04 22:48:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (20/67)0/20
0.90x (win $6,461 / loss $7,204)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5710/15
Sortino -0.7820/10
$-0.0527 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1140 (67 markets)6.8/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($4,971 / $4,228)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,961$-817Vol: $96,303
🎭 CULTURE#761,807$-50Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-867
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$96,803
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
161B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$-867
Vol: $96,803

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
20W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-867
Win Rate
30%
20W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$323
Avg Loss
$-153

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,856 (6.755773978449966% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$3,011
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$1,465
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$1,380
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?$163
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$125
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$100
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?$62
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$48
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31?$36
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$22

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$-1,158
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$-853
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$-735
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$-673
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$-413
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$-411
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?$-355
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?$-300
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$-300
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$-294

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.033
HHI
547
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
41%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.7%
Mid (20-55c)44.7%
High (>55c)10.6%

Sessions

#12
12/26/2025, 4:37:35 PM3 trades$4,2722 min
11/16/2025, 3:42:14 AM5 trades$3,7133 min
10/24/2025, 4:00:35 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
1/6/2026, 9:56:51 PM5 trades$1,7782 min
7/5/2026, 12:51:59 AM32 trades$1,7087 min
10/31/2025, 11:17:59 PM6 trades$1,0843 min
12/25/2025, 3:08:33 PM2 trades$1,0732 min
12/27/2025, 1:34:29 AM3 trades$9002 min
10/24/2025, 4:13:53 PM7 trades$7454 min
12/7/2025, 3:36:51 PM2 trades$7182 min
10/25/2025, 5:41:01 AM8 trades$56818 min
11/3/2025, 11:20:03 PM3 trades$5671 min
10/19/2025, 2:30:45 AM5 trades$4796 min
10/20/2025, 11:50:39 AM11 trades$4799 min
12/25/2025, 4:09:49 PM4 trades$4002 min
11/18/2025, 9:25:53 PM2 trades$3900 min
11/27/2025, 11:14:25 PM1 trades$3820 min
11/25/2025, 2:36:41 PM2 trades$3714 min
11/25/2025, 2:50:31 PM1 trades$3710 min
10/24/2025, 4:38:39 PM2 trades$3001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
10-24
10-30
11-16
11-26
12-25
01-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 191 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.7 / M44.7 / H10.6