@Melsonism

#1,865,8800

0x230adaa9a5b4604682f4595f307ad5f62edfb9c6

~20d· 39 markets · 119 tradesVol: $2,1572026-08-05 16:35:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (4/17)0/20
0.20x (win $22 / loss $109)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5410/15
Sortino -6.2120/10
$-0.7172 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2665 (17 markets)0/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 940% of peak ($97 / $10)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,304,140$-8Vol: $1,479
🏛️ POLITICS#936,903$-1Vol: $661
🎭 CULTURE#474,361$-0Vol: $10
₿ CRYPTO#865,928$-1Vol: $4
📈 ECONOMICS#169,034$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
65B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $2
Month
$-0
Vol: $2
All Time
$-11
Vol: $2,157

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
4W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-11
Win Rate
24%
4W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22 (2.04363974001857% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$10
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$8
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5$4
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-4
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-4
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-2
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$-2
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-2
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.326
Sortino
-0.233
HHI
6895
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.599
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
82.4%
Top-5 markets
96.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 506s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.5%
Mid (20-55c)24.6%
High (>55c)13.8%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 7:22:01 PM5 trades$1140 min
7/20/2026, 5:28:24 AM4 trades$660 min
5/12/2026, 9:46:40 AM14 trades$454 min
4/7/2026, 3:47:49 PM2 trades$400 min
4/7/2026, 8:40:39 PM2 trades$210 min
7/7/2026, 2:24:19 PM2 trades$170 min
6/15/2026, 4:17:49 PM2 trades$130 min
7/15/2026, 10:12:14 PM8 trades$127 min
4/10/2026, 2:42:59 PM4 trades$101 min
6/17/2026, 6:02:28 AM2 trades$100 min
6/15/2026, 12:49:13 PM4 trades$90 min
7/17/2026, 6:01:33 AM2 trades$80 min
5/12/2026, 9:59:58 AM9 trades$80 min
7/5/2026, 8:52:41 PM2 trades$60 min
4/7/2026, 9:58:27 PM2 trades$60 min
4/8/2026, 10:23:13 AM6 trades$64 min
4/12/2026, 6:00:19 PM3 trades$50 min
7/9/2026, 1:45:19 PM4 trades$41 min
7/15/2026, 9:07:56 PM4 trades$41 min
4/21/2026, 11:48:20 AM2 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-08
04-12
05-12
05-30
06-15
07-06
07-09
07-10
07-12
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 94 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.5 / M24.6 / H13.8