@xp241
#138,379730x235ebb71c81b25dd423458699a41b17722ef68f0
~12d· 38 markets · 114 tradesVol: $17,4612026-08-04 17:19:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (21/38)12.6/20
2.63x (win $770 / loss $293)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.66315/15
Sortino 19.98810/10
$+0.1128 per $1 invested5.6/10
HHI 2233 (38 markets)1.3/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($175 / $477)6.6/10
Badges
1Profitable
PnL $+334
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#4,346$243Vol: $14,894
⚽ SPORTS#122,257$99Vol: $2,557
Overview
#1Net PnL
$334
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,461
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
60B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
21W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$334
Win Rate
55%
21W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.63x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-29
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $568 (1.6993034171425154% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$300
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$200
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$68
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?$22
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$20
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$15
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 13?$14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 14?$14
Top Losers
Knicks vs. Spurs$-80
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-71
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-60
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 5?$-16
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-13
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$-10
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$-9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 11?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.334
Sortino
0.685
HHI
3198
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.6%
Top-5 markets
88.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.0m
between trades
Night Trading
66%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 4.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)66% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)80%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 1:09:55 AM2 trades$2,1920 min
7/7/2026, 12:22:25 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/12/2026, 11:06:17 PM2 trades$3630 min
7/6/2026, 5:57:02 PM17 trades$18617 min
6/10/2026, 3:29:19 AM16 trades$1509 min
6/14/2026, 3:58:54 AM4 trades$1401 min
6/14/2026, 9:30:48 AM6 trades$1383 min
7/7/2026, 1:30:07 AM1 trades$950 min
6/5/2026, 2:51:10 AM4 trades$581 min
5/15/2026, 5:41:24 AM7 trades$540 min
7/11/2026, 12:16:35 AM7 trades$511 min
7/7/2026, 10:37:46 PM2 trades$510 min
5/15/2026, 5:21:13 AM2 trades$500 min
5/14/2026, 1:03:55 AM8 trades$373 min
6/5/2026, 5:11:31 AM5 trades$331 min
6/14/2026, 2:32:39 AM2 trades$300 min
5/14/2026, 1:14:22 AM4 trades$271 min
5/17/2026, 2:11:05 AM2 trades$220 min
6/10/2026, 7:59:21 AM5 trades$201 min
7/8/2026, 11:58:10 PM2 trades$170 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-17
06-10
06-26
07-07
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M16.7 / H80