@aguirresonya

#576,53055

0x23880bd8a0b3cb95f951a2d9365457766c0e8d04

~34d· 22 markets · 46 tradesVol: $4492026-08-05 02:23:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (7/19)3.4/20
2.47x (win $9 / loss $4)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.43815/15
Sortino 9.31910/10
$+0.0228 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 796 (19 markets)8.5/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($4 / $5)0.5/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+5

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#785,563$-0Vol: $247
🎭 CULTURE#437,649$-0Vol: $103
⚽ SPORTS#626,810$-0Vol: $37
💰 FINANCE#68,370$6Vol: $19
📈 ECONOMICS#90,942$2Vol: $18
₿ CRYPTO#793,131$-0Vol: $18
📢 MENTIONS#100,032$-2Vol: $4
🌤️ WEATHER#70,500$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$449
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
26B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$5
Vol: $449

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
7W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$5
Win Rate
37%
7W / 12L
Profit Factor
2.47x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (1.721991701244813% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$6
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on October 21?$0
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?$0
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?$0

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump say "Ethereum" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$-2
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?$-0
Gold missing from Fort Knox?$-0
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$-0
Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?$-0
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?$-0
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-0
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?$-0
Will Chaz Lanier win the Wooden Award?$-0
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.175
Sortino
0.378
HHI
562
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
24.3%
Half-Kelly
12.2%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
43.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
10.4h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47459s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.84
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)92.3%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2025, 5:53:22 PM1 trades$230 min
3/2/2025, 7:27:15 PM1 trades$230 min
4/16/2026, 8:54:44 PM2 trades$210 min
3/3/2025, 11:03:56 PM1 trades$190 min
3/4/2025, 8:42:23 PM1 trades$190 min
3/24/2025, 2:07:19 AM1 trades$190 min
3/24/2025, 3:18:18 PM1 trades$190 min
3/12/2025, 8:14:51 PM1 trades$180 min
3/13/2025, 12:22:16 AM1 trades$180 min
3/9/2025, 11:53:07 AM1 trades$150 min
3/10/2025, 12:10:01 PM1 trades$140 min
5/12/2025, 8:26:22 AM1 trades$140 min
5/9/2025, 1:26:50 AM1 trades$140 min
2/23/2026, 2:58:46 PM1 trades$130 min
4/18/2026, 8:08:10 PM2 trades$120 min
2/16/2025, 7:13:40 PM1 trades$90 min
2/17/2025, 8:49:42 PM1 trades$90 min
2/8/2026, 3:58:37 PM1 trades$90 min
3/14/2025, 2:01:34 AM1 trades$90 min
2/16/2025, 1:07:07 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
02-24
03-05
03-14
03-27
10-20
04-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M3.8 / H92.3