@raxonwood

#2,749,02471

0x23ea5743b4a7c8264090220157c7bb6a8d255a98

~13d· 52 markets · 334 tradesVol: $12,1322026-08-05 18:39:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (24/30)20/20
1.36x (win $56 / loss $41)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.02315/15
Sortino 2.94810/10
$+0.0077 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 969 (30 markets)7.7/10
23/29 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($15 / $22)0.9/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 80%
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Consistent
23/29 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,458,199$-92Vol: $7,891
🏛️ POLITICS#1,449,119$-42Vol: $1,089
🎭 CULTURE#720,469$-19Vol: $965
SPORTS#1,637,025$-70Vol: $915
💰 FINANCE#569,310$-10Vol: $541
💻 TECH#220,783$-6Vol: $380
📈 ECONOMICS#587,351$-7Vol: $290
📢 MENTIONS#75,571$-1Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-247
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,132
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
292B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $438
Week
$-40
Vol: $2,111
Month
$-57
Vol: $2,541
All Time
$-247
Vol: $12,132

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
24W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-247
Win Rate
80%
24W / 6L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (0.11166957156175267% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$8
Will anyone say "Betray" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-15
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.117
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
52.2%
Half-Kelly
26.1%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.1
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)49.7%
High (>55c)46.2%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 8:15:29 AM9 trades$19010 min
8/4/2026, 1:26:53 AM7 trades$1293 min
8/3/2026, 2:20:33 AM8 trades$939 min
7/13/2026, 8:40:07 AM29 trades$754 min
7/13/2026, 6:31:31 AM30 trades$681 min
7/30/2026, 6:48:47 AM2 trades$662 min
7/30/2026, 9:33:20 PM1 trades$660 min
8/3/2026, 5:12:05 AM5 trades$652 min
7/13/2026, 10:50:10 AM35 trades$644 min
7/13/2026, 8:20:22 AM31 trades$615 min
7/30/2026, 9:57:09 PM3 trades$600 min
8/4/2026, 8:23:33 PM2 trades$510 min
8/1/2026, 4:07:41 AM1 trades$510 min
7/31/2026, 4:50:23 AM1 trades$490 min
7/30/2026, 2:02:03 PM6 trades$463 min
8/5/2026, 7:53:32 AM4 trades$450 min
7/30/2026, 6:05:24 PM1 trades$420 min
7/31/2026, 5:14:39 AM2 trades$410 min
7/31/2026, 10:58:05 AM1 trades$400 min
8/1/2026, 12:50:51 AM4 trades$401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-13 06:35:00
2026-07-13 10:55:00
2026-07-19 07:15:00
2026-07-20 06:35:00
2026-07-20 19:10:00
2026-07-21 08:40:00
2026-07-22 19:40:00
2026-08-02 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M49.7 / H46.2