@Dreaded

#2,478,85817

0x23fc1a25d03f187a71d3eeec7cd86d8fed3189f2

~66d· 181 markets · 482 tradesVol: $25,3842026-08-04 21:24:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (73/176)5.7/20
0.72x (win $256 / loss $356)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6600/15
Sortino -4.8890/10
$-0.1175 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 259 (176 markets)10/10
15/44 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 1682% of peak ($107 / $6)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#251,105$-13Vol: $13,275
🏛️ POLITICS#1,282,788$-10Vol: $11,023
₿ CRYPTO#1,328,479$-31Vol: $930
🎭 CULTURE#734,565$-24Vol: $156

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-79
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,384
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
181
total markets
Trades
265B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $14
Week
$-0
Vol: $10,303
Month
$-14
Vol: $10,439
All Time
$-79
Vol: $25,384

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
73W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$-79
Win Rate
41%
73W / 103L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $125 (1.5879888268156424% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala lead by 2-2.4 August 30?$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$39
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?$18
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$9
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$4

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 7?$-22
Will Kamala lead by 2.5+ August 30?$-19
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$-14
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?$-13
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 2?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-10
Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
258
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 706s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.3%
High (>55c)41.5%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 9:03:46 AM47 trades$11813 min
8/1/2026, 9:04:48 AM8 trades$742 min
7/22/2024, 9:01:19 PM3 trades$592 min
6/11/2026, 12:31:21 AM4 trades$471 min
7/21/2024, 9:02:02 PM2 trades$424 min
8/29/2024, 6:43:36 PM2 trades$403 min
7/21/2024, 8:18:12 PM2 trades$391 min
8/4/2024, 5:06:16 AM3 trades$385 min
7/28/2024, 5:48:16 PM1 trades$350 min
7/9/2026, 2:17:38 PM11 trades$340 min
7/9/2026, 3:49:23 PM12 trades$321 min
8/5/2024, 5:38:53 PM1 trades$310 min
6/26/2026, 12:02:59 AM6 trades$310 min
4/27/2026, 10:26:56 PM9 trades$316 min
5/7/2026, 8:54:36 PM2 trades$280 min
6/11/2026, 11:28:46 PM3 trades$280 min
8/29/2024, 2:54:50 PM1 trades$280 min
7/31/2024, 4:42:13 AM1 trades$250 min
8/1/2024, 2:54:24 PM1 trades$250 min
8/18/2024, 8:22:48 AM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-21
08-06
11-16
12-20
05-04
06-12
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 703 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.2 / M25.3 / H41.5