@flutter3.38

#2,828,98170

0x2415c270ac61a516f5f5e995b7323c9ba93bc70b

~27d· 27 markets · 229 tradesVol: $9,5432026-08-04 17:19:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (10/26)4.2/20
1.76x (win $795 / loss $453)11.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.17415/15
Sortino 12.63410/10
$+0.2312 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1120 (26 markets)6.9/10
9/21 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($110 / $452)9.1/10

Badges

1
Cool Head
Max DD 24%

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#635,758$-120Vol: $4,524
🎭 CULTURE#770,848$-69Vol: $1,008
📈 ECONOMICS#644,850$-43Vol: $821
🌤️ WEATHER#268,747$-31Vol: $754
SPORTS#1,349,625$-10Vol: $720
🏛️ POLITICS#1,395,468$-24Vol: $603
💻 TECH#232,944$-16Vol: $448
📢 MENTIONS#163,359$-98Vol: $404

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-428
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,543
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
119B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-428
Vol: $9,543

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
10W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-428
Win Rate
38%
10W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $668 (1.5596598210322188% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$332
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$255
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$81
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?$57
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?$28
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?$12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$3
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?$2

Top Losers

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-105
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 15 2026?$-66
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.35B?$-51
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?$-48
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?$-38
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$-30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026?$-30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 4?$-24
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-20
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks in Georgia?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.213
Sortino
0.828
HHI
1042
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.239
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.5%
Top-5 markets
60.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 546s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.6%
High (>55c)65.5%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 8:56:10 PM4 trades$881 min
6/26/2026, 6:48:07 PM6 trades$842 min
6/26/2026, 4:23:16 PM5 trades$741 min
7/7/2026, 10:19:53 AM8 trades$732 min
6/15/2026, 5:55:13 AM2 trades$710 min
7/9/2026, 10:43:05 AM4 trades$640 min
6/27/2026, 3:26:40 PM6 trades$631 min
6/23/2026, 2:32:10 AM6 trades$581 min
6/24/2026, 3:10:53 PM10 trades$571 min
7/7/2026, 7:04:59 PM5 trades$570 min
6/30/2026, 4:35:56 AM2 trades$570 min
6/11/2026, 7:47:07 AM2 trades$550 min
6/30/2026, 5:42:19 AM7 trades$551 min
6/21/2026, 1:34:05 PM5 trades$540 min
6/30/2026, 12:23:31 PM5 trades$511 min
6/23/2026, 6:28:50 AM3 trades$500 min
6/30/2026, 6:26:11 AM4 trades$490 min
6/23/2026, 8:26:17 AM6 trades$465 min
6/26/2026, 1:32:45 PM3 trades$450 min
6/19/2026, 1:36:13 PM7 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-12
06-17
06-21
06-27
07-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
23.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M33.6 / H65.5