@Thersa

#2,726,67028

0x241e9a0201dc564f74974cb49a4da74948b3ffbe

~42d· 52 markets · 160 tradesVol: $47,473 @kevindo298936952026-08-04 18:55:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (30/44)19.1/20
0.46x (win $268 / loss $577)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0730/15
Sortino -4.0310/10
$-0.0321 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2935 (44 markets)0/10
20/30 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 5695% of peak ($376 / $7)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Consistent
20/30 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,547,569$-150Vol: $32,635
SPORTS#486,522$0Vol: $6,404
📈 ECONOMICS#579,658$-6Vol: $4,075
CRYPTO#1,182,949$-12Vol: $3,590
💰 FINANCE#620,523$-54Vol: $361
🎭 CULTURE#589,092$-2Vol: $328
💻 TECH#24,735$5Vol: $54
🌤️ WEATHER#66,366$1Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-219
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,473
Total Redeem
$29
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
83B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-219
Vol: $47,473

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
30W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-219
Win Rate
68%
30W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $225 (1.0283100846101074% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$156
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$45
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$11
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$7
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$4
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$4
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? $3
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$2

Top Losers

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-256
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-82
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-60
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-56
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$-46
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-42
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-15
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$-14
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-6
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.210
Sortino
-0.125
HHI
580
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
48.3%
Half-Kelly
24.1%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
36.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 3.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 4:11:27 AM4 trades$3,3280 min
4/18/2026, 11:41:10 AM21 trades$3,1292 min
4/22/2026, 2:38:18 AM16 trades$3,1293 min
4/13/2026, 1:53:53 AM11 trades$2,8890 min
4/7/2026, 2:15:17 AM5 trades$1,6561 min
4/14/2026, 1:41:15 AM10 trades$1,5910 min
4/24/2026, 7:50:34 AM8 trades$1,5566 min
4/27/2026, 7:48:34 AM12 trades$2772 min
6/25/2026, 9:15:34 AM4 trades$1081 min
2/22/2026, 11:48:22 AM2 trades$1061 min
12/15/2025, 8:56:47 AM3 trades$1050 min
2/6/2026, 6:22:55 AM2 trades$1020 min
5/26/2026, 7:38:01 AM2 trades$970 min
12/18/2025, 10:03:20 AM2 trades$900 min
7/19/2026, 3:29:16 AM5 trades$900 min
11/27/2025, 5:27:01 AM2 trades$890 min
12/10/2025, 7:37:10 AM2 trades$881 min
1/6/2026, 8:27:53 AM2 trades$831 min
11/23/2025, 9:20:47 AM2 trades$790 min
12/23/2025, 8:33:11 AM2 trades$790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-20
12-15
02-22
04-01
04-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M4.8 / H72.3